USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Women's Épée

Monday, July 1, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 ROBLES Elena 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
3 DING Jiahe (Heidi) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
5 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
6 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
7 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
8 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
9 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
10 WANG anne 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
11 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
12 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
13 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
14 ORTEGA Ivanna S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
16 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
17 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
18 WU Amelia 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 12%
19 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
20 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
20 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 18%
22 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
23 HENRY Asha S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
24 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 31%
25 GHIDINA O'Livia G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
26 HU Grace 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
27 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
28 ZAFFT Tatiana M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
29 MILLER Veronica 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
30 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
31 WANG Nora 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
32 GABERKORN Nadia 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 7%
33 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
34 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
35 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
36 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
37 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
38 LEE Michelle 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 7%
39 WEISS Talia L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
40 TOLBA Salma 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
41 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
42 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 4%
43 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
44 COBERT Helen G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
45 BENATER Lauren 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
46 LEE kyungmin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
47 SLACKMAN Valerie 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
48 NING Emma 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
49 TSANG JAFFE Avi 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
50 SMUK Daria A. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
51 KIM Zoe L. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
52 CHOI Eunice 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
53 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 95% 72% 33% 6% -
54 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 8%
55 WU Fan 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
57 BEI Karen 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
58 BURN Lauren M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
58 GU Sarah 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
60 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 8%
60 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
62 SAUL Nicole 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
63 SAAL Anna 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
64 LUO Ashley 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
65 XU Grace (XinYi) 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
66 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
67 TONG Sarah Shen 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
68 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
69 AHUJA Arianna 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
70 KUNDU Anisha 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
70 KWON Athina 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
72 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
73 YAO Jillian 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
74 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 3%
74 PARTE Isabella B. 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% - -
76 LU Junyao 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
77 CHEN hai lin 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
78 PAN Michelle 100% 98% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
79 VANDERLINDEN Mira 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
80 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
81 DINGMAN Amanda 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
82 BUCUR Naomi 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
83 KHROL Caralina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
83 HODGES Grace A. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
85 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
86 WEBER Nora 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
87 KIM Diane E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
88 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
88 DARANOUVONG Logan 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
90 MOSKOFF Tessa 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
91 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
92 COVITZ Ashley A. 100% 37% 5% < 1% - -
93 DE JAGER Celine 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
94 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
95 ERTAS Eileen 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
96 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 10% 1%
97 BELSLEY Devon K. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
98 BEHENSKY Brenna 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
100 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
100 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 1%
102 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
103 MAO Amy 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
104 WOLF Isabella A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
105 REITINGER Emilie B. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
106 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
107 SHEN Stephanie 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
108 PROVANCE Allison N. 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% 1%
109 KIM Erika S. 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
110 GONG SIYU 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
111 OH Kaitlin Y. 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
112 ANDERSON Nora E. 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
113 LU Shiqi 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
114 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
115 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% -
115 GITHENS Gracyn J. 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
117 SUMRALL Emily M. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
117 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
117 ZHANG Tina 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
120 BLIN Margaux J. 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
121 LEE Yedda 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
122 FENG Kelly L. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
123 LEE Olive 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
124 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
125 REID Anousheh 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
126 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
127 YU Claire 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
128 GAURIAT Jade S. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
129 WILLIAMS Sarah 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
130 SHERTZ Kira E. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
131 SMITH Grace L. 100% 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2%
132 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
133 RAZA Nadia A. 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
133 QURESHI Aafreen 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
133 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
136 DUAN Jenny S. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
137 DANIEL Olivia 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
138 PALMER Amelia C. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
139 CHANG Ella 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
140 CHEUNG Ho Huen 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
141 LI molan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
142 DU Angela 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
143 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 100% 99% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
144 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
145 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
146 KOKES Ava 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
147 SHOATES Jacqueline A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 5%
147 WATKINS Josephine M. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
149 ZAKHAROV Anne E. 100% 79% 32% 6% 1% - -
150 BONDAR Nika 100% 73% 27% 5% 1% - -
151 JIANG Corina 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
152 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
153 FLO Sena 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
154 JAMES Josephine 100% 91% 51% 13% 1% -
155 OSTROVSKY Emily I. 100% 84% 35% 8% 1% - -
156 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
157 ZHANG mickey 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
159 DESAI Meera P. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
160 MA Laura 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
161 BECCHINA Olivia 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
162 SHEN GE 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
163 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
164 SU Vivienne 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
165 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
166 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
167 WAGMAN Agatha E. 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
168 HUANG audrey 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
169 LI Alisha 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
170 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
170 KIZILBASH Alizeh H. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
172 ZENG Katrina 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
173 TEJADA Mikaela Aprille S. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
174 LEE Anna 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
175 LIN Julia L. 100% 97% 72% 26% 4% -
176 SON Katherine (Injee) 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
177 GAO Judy 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
178 YU Bailey 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
180 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 69% 22% 4% - - -
180 KIZILBASH Zara 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
182 HUNTER Madison 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
183 HICKS Grace 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
184 MING Cynthia 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
185 SINHA Zara 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
186 LI Vivian 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
187 SU Vera 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.