The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Y-10 Men's Épée

Fortune SYC/RJCCPool Heatmap

Sunday, May 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM Anaheim Convention Center - Hall E · Anaheim, CA, USA
79 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 28%
2 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 LIU Leo 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
3 LIU YULIN 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
5 BUSH Andrew 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
6 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
7 XIONG Alec 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12%
8 DING Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25% 2%
9 LI John 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9% < 1%
10 YU Luca 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
11 HAO Hardy 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 5% 1%
12 LI Ethan 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
13 JIN JETFAN 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
14 MAYA Fabien 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 15%
15 SZETO Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
16 LI Jacob 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
17 YAN Milan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
18 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
19 LU Shawn 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
20 LI nathan zeting 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
21 PINCHUK Spencer 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
22 HONG Eason 100% 99% 86% 45% 9% -
23 WANG Franklin 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
24 HUO Yichen 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
25 ZHANG William 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
26 NOVOSELOV Roman 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
27 DAI Greyson 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
28 LAU Jesse 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
29 SHI Ethan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
30 NEWSOME Vayl 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
31 LEE Zeo 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
32 XUE Jason 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
33 LEE Paxton 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
34 LEE Daniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% -
35 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11% -
36 YIM Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 10%
37 CHI Zachary 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% -
38 WANG Alexander 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
39 ERLIKHMAN Emanuel 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
40 SHEN Chris 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
41 YANG Liam 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
42 ZHANG Lucas 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
43 YANG Mikey 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
44 CHEN Andrew 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% 1%
45 SSEMBAJJWE Elliot 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
46 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
47 TONG Matthew 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% -
48 SONG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
49 LIU Evan 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% -
50 REED Andrew 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
51 ABROSIMOV Nik 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
52 WAN William 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
53 MAH Caffrey 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
54 HWANG Isaac 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
55 LU Jayden 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
56 WANG Nolan 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
57 CHEN Yijia (Rick) 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
58 CHEN Nick 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 3%
59 NI Liam 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
60 YOO Kyle 100% 100% 100% 91% 63% 26% 4%
61 SHIH Eli 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
62 BERTEL Timothee 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
63 ZHANG Lucas 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
64 LEI Hanson 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
65 ZHANG Luran 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
66 CHERENSHCHIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
67 ZHENG Mason 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 4%
68 OSIKA Wyatt 100% 68% 23% 3% - -
69 WO Aaron 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
70 STEPHAN Yannik Esteban 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% - -
71 DUFFY Dashiel 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
72 VIJAY Vyom 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
73 ZHU Justin 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
74 KIM Ian 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% -
75 VIVAS Colin 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
76 SHANIDZE LIM Collin 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% 1%
77 ISLAM Ryan 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
78 HAN Kyle 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
79 LEE Jayden 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -