Event Results
USA Fencing National Championships & July ChallengeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MARSH-SENIC Ann E. | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 2 | SEAL Julie T. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 3 | MILLIGAN Lauren M. | V V D V D | V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 3 | DE LA FOSCADE-CONDON Celine | V D V V V | V V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 5 | DREYER Nadia S. | V V D V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 6 | FEDDE Rachel A. | D D V V V | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 7 | AL-MOHAMED Day | V V D D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 8 | THURMAN Allison L. | V V D D D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 9 | LEE Claire L. | D V V D V | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 10 | READ Sarah | D V V D V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 11 | WOUNDY Melissa A. | V D V V D | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 12 | WRIEDT Nancy J. | V D V D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 13 | ROMANO Megan C. | D V D D V | D | 0.5 | 2 | +1.5 |
| 14 | HABERKERN Kundry E. | D D D V D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 15 | CHAPMAN Lesley F. | D D V D D | V D | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| 16 | NASH Sara | D D D D V | V D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 17 | STANICA Teodora O. | D D D V D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 18 | SALDANA Janelle | D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |