USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Men's Saber

Tuesday, July 2, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 11%
3 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
5 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
6 CHANG Brandon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
7 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
8 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
9 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
10 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
10 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
12 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
13 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
14 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
15 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
16 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
17 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
18 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
19 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
20 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
21 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
22 CHEN Oscar 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
23 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
24 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
25 COLE Alexander 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
26 LIN Nick 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
27 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
28 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
29 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
30 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% 1%
31 ZHOU Brian 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
32 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
33 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
34 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
35 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
36 CHEN Lucas B. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
37 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 18%
38 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
39 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
40 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
41 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
42 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
43 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
44 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
45 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
46 FORMAN Logan 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
47 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
48 LIU David J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 15%
49 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
50 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
51 SHASHA zane 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
52 CONINE Tanner C. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
53 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
54 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
55 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
56 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
57 BAILEY Asher 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
58 BRUSIE Christopher R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
59 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
60 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
61 CHAN Alexander S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 1%
62 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
63 CHON Taylor A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
64 LICHT Aaron H. 100% 100% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
65 POPE Nico 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
66 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
67 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
68 TANG Alex Y. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
69 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
70 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
71 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
72 KEEFE Duncan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
73 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
73 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 3%
75 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
76 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 29%
76 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
78 GREENE Alexander J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
79 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
79 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
81 WU Wilmund 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
81 BLECKNER Noah 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
83 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
84 BECKER Dylan J. 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
85 MYLEK Peter 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
86 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
86 DU Gavin J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
88 XU Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
89 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
90 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
90 YOUNG Brendon 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
92 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
93 JOHNSTON Bennett S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
94 KIM Matthew 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
95 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
96 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
97 TANN Justin 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
98 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
99 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 2%
100 KIM Shaun M. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
101 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
102 LE Hayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
103 LUO George F. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
104 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
105 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
106 GRASS James D. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 3%
107 XU William 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
108 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
109 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
110 PUCKETT Carter 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
111 MENTA Varun 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
112 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
113 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
114 YUAN Kevin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
115 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
116 GOLD Jackson 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
117 GOERING Ashton H. 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
118 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
119 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
119 CHENG Kyle 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
121 GEORGE Daniel 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
122 BULL Anderson 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
122 LEE Aydan J. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
124 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
125 FENG Leo 100% 99% 85% 47% 11%
126 REED Samuel J. 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
127 OWENS Harrison J. 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
128 SHTEYN Mark 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
129 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
130 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
131 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 94% 72% 39% 12% 1%
132 LLAMAS Diego F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
133 ZHOU Miles 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
134 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
135 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
136 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 99% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
137 YOO Joshua H. 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
138 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
139 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 99% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
139 GORTON George F. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
141 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
142 COLLINS Andrew M. 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
143 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
144 LIU kelly 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
145 NUMAN Yazan M. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
146 HO Kaden M. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
147 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
148 YUN Jake 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
148 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 5% -
150 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
151 MOOREHEAD Patrick 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
152 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
153 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
153 MALONE Gregory D. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
155 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
156 JEFFRY Nicholas B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
156 VO Minh Q. 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
156 KIM Noah L. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
159 ALKIN Isaac 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
160 LU Caleb Q. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
161 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
162 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
163 SCHERER Max 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
164 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
165 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
166 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
166 XU Luke 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
168 LEE Justin 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
169 POFF James 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
170 KLEIMAN Jakob 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
171 HOLZ William A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
172 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9% 1%
172 BURNS Jackson P. 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
174 ZHANG William 100% 97% 66% 26% 6% 1% -
175 GOCHMAN Max 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
176 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 76% 29% 6% 1% - -
177 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
178 NARANJO David E. 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1%
179 LEUNG Nathan 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
180 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
181 LI Joshua L. 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
182 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
183 FOX Nicholas 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
184 LEMPERT Levy A. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
185 GIANETTO Ethan K. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
186 MOULTON Ian 100% 34% 5% - - - -
187 LEE Conner M. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
188 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
188 STONE Esmond A. 100% 90% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
190 MORRILL William 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
191 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
191 DILLE Jackson K. 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
193 BARDWELL Jr Douglas W. 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
194 COX Luis E. 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
195 PENG Bryan 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
196 CLYMER Lucas Y. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
197 ROBERTS Justin C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
198 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
199 ROBLEDO Everett M. 100% 56% 11% 1% - - -
200 WONG Ryan 100% 91% 55% 18% 2%
201 HAN Edward 100% 54% 13% 2% -
202 LEE Sean 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
203 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
204 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
205 NIELANDER Elliot S. 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
206 SCOVILL Tenzin S. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
207 WANG Nicolas 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
208 NOBLE Colin 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
209 PANDEY Neil 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
210 DENISON Joseph 100% 89% 39% 8% 1% - -
211 WANG Ziyao 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
212 YOU Jaden 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% - -
213 SAMMI Mukund 100% 96% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
213 HU Andrew 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
215 LEE Christopher M. 100% 99% 86% 55% 23% 5% -
216 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
217 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% -
217 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
217 ETIN Ari 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
220 SHI Kyle 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
221 BONSELL Vance 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
221 LI Daniel 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
223 CHAN Aidan 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
223 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 13% 1%
225 WU Richard 100% 89% 53% 19% 4% - -
226 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
226 SMITH Vaughn 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
228 CANNON Logan T. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
228 YU Thomas 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
230 LO Andrew T. 100% 24% 2% - - - -
230 LEWALLEN Reece 100% 76% 27% 4% - - -
232 BELLEMIN Thomas 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
233 ZHOU James Y. 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
233 MEHTA Krish 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
235 BOWMAN James 100% 30% 2% - - - -
236 CHIEN Winston L. 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% -
237 HONG Steven 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
238 FORT David 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
239 WELLS Griffin 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
240 LUHMAN Gabriel 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
241 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -
242 RENNER Henry 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
243 KERZHNER Kevin 100% 86% 48% 13% 2% -
244 BULLARD Nicholas Y. 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
244 TONG Eric 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
244 SHEN Xuanlan 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
244 NAZAROV Adilzhan 100% 29% 2% - - - -
244 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
249 LEITH Jack 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
249 HUSTON Theodore 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
251 LAGASSE Jack T. 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
252 DALAL Rohan 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
253 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
253 RASMUSSEN Oliver 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
255 LIKER Maxim J. 100% 63% 23% 5% 1% - -
255 SCHARDINE James 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
257 GOUVEIA Conall 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
258 LAGROU Emerson R. 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
259 FERNANDEZ JONATHAN 100% 84% 26% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.