The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Cadet Men's Saber

Collegiate Cup RJCCPool Heatmap

Sunday, May 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego · La Jolla, CA, USA
70 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
2 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 LI Ayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
5 LI Cooper 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
6 ZHAO Chen Fei 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
7 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
8 LEE Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
9 IYER Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
10 ROH Jaden 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
11 ZEYU wu 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
12 CHI Everett 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
13 LI Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
14 MINASIAN Mason 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 9%
15 SOULES-ONO Makoa 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
16 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
17 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
18 VO Blake 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
19 SUN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 2%
20 CHEN Aaron 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
21 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
22 HUANG Caleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
23 KIM Enoch 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
24 LO Elroy 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
25 SLOAN Ethan 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
26 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 6%
27 NGO Emerson 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% 1%
28 WONG Ron 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
29 SUN Eon 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
30 WINTERSET Mason 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
30 AN Chris 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 14% 1%
32 WU Dawei 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
33 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
34 LI Alex Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
35 QI Jeremy 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
36 GATTO Enzo P. 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
37 HAO Johnny 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
38 YUEN Caleb 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
39 LIU Paul 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
40 LEE Bill King 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
40 CHEUNG Evan 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
42 SAHA Aadi 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
42 CHEN Zhengming 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
44 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 5%
45 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
45 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
47 LUO Gavin 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
48 HUNG Jaden 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% - -
49 GONZALEZ Paul 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
50 GU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
51 HAOSONG Oscar 100% 96% 66% 25% 5% - -
51 LI Ryan 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
53 KIM Leo 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
54 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% - -
55 SMITH Etienne 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
56 SAHA Aryan 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
57 WU Garrick 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
58 YANG Jake 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
59 GUO Kesson 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
60 PI Edwin 100% 94% 58% 20% 3% - -
61 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 90% 56% 17% 2% - -
62 DUFF Michael 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
63 CHANDLER Scott 100% 29% 3% - - - -
64 FISCHER Noel 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
65 FU BRANDEN 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
66 KIM Derek 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
67 XIN Ryan 100% 33% 4% - - - -
68 XIAO Yi 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
69 MASON Kai 100% 36% 5% - - - -
70 HAN Kyle 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -