Event Results
USA Fencing National Championships & July ChallengeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | DAVIS Don | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| 2 | OLIVARES Frets G. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 3 | FOELLMER Oliver K. | D V V V V V | V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 3 | WYSZYNSKI Marek B. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 5 | GRANDBOIS Peter R. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 6 | FELDMAN Adam | V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 7 | PIMOUTKINE Roustam R. | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 8 | KISSINGFORD John F. | V V V D V | V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 9 | WILLEY David S. | D V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 9 | KOEHN Ted | V V V V V D | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 11 | AMRINE JR Terry L. | D V V V V | V D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 12 | HENSLEY Todd | V V V V D D | V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 13 | SZEGO Levente (Levi) | V V D D V | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 14 | FADL Omar | V D D V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 15 | DIAZ Julio P. | V D V D D V | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 16 | JONES Sam J. | D D D V V D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 17 | ESTELL Oscar M. | V V V V D | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 18 | DENMAN Matthew L. | V V D D V V | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 19 | BALESTRACCI Chris | V D D V V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 20 | HAYENGA Gary M. | D D V V V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 21 | GRAJALES Nestor L. | V V D D D V | D | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| 22 | PROCOPIO Gregory M. | D V V D D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 23 | BECKER William L. | D V V D D D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 24 | WHARTON David | D V D D V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 25 | GRISWOLD Doug | D V V D D D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 26 | GALLUCH Peter G. | D D D D V V | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 27 | WU Clarence C. | D D D V D V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 28 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | D D D V D V | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 29 | YOO Terry S. | V D D D V D | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 30 | SCHWARTZMAN Benjamin | D D V D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 31 | SHYNKARUK Wil | D D D V D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 32 | CROSTHWAITE John T. | D D D V D D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 33 | NEWELL Tim | V D V D D D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 34 | ALLAN Peter L. | D V D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 35 | POWERS Douglas A. | V D D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 36 | GILLESPIE Jeremy W. | D D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 37 | PREUD'HOMME Xavier A. | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 38 | GOODRICH Gary | D D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 39 | WEMPLE Charles | D D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 40 | CONNELL 3rd James | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |