USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Women's Épée

Wednesday, July 3, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Faith K. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 MALDONADO Pilar I. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
3 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - - - 5% 31% 63%
3 ZAFFT Tatiana M. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
5 NGUYEN Kaylin A. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
6 KETKAR Ketki - - - - 5% 29% 66%
7 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - - 1% 4% 19% 42% 34%
8 CHAN Cheri K. - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
9 TYLER Syd - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
10 ROBLES Elena - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
11 KETKAR Mallika - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
12 WANG Nora - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
13 LIN Katie Y. - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
14 AHUJA Arianna - 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
15 CHIN Isabella - 1% 11% 33% 42% 13%
16 LEANG Priscilla Y. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
17 JOYCE Michaela - - - - 1% 14% 85%
18 GABERKORN Nadia - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
19 WANG Elizabeth - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
20 LAVERY Chloe K. 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
21 PATURU Meghana - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
21 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - - 6% 28% 45% 21%
23 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
24 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
25 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
26 CHAN Elizabeth - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
27 KIM Diane E. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
28 SMUK Daria A. - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8% 1%
28 DOUGLAS Julia F. - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
30 REID Anousheh - 1% 5% 19% 38% 31% 7%
31 MAO Amy 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
32 SAAL Anna - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
33 ORTEGA Ivanna S. - - - - 6% 36% 57%
34 KUZNETSOV Victoria - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
35 WU Amelia - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
36 CHOI Eunice 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
37 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
38 FALLON Kyle R. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
38 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
40 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
41 CAPELLUA Mariasole - 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 1%
42 GU Sarah - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
43 SMITH Grace L. - 1% 6% 25% 41% 23% 4%
44 LEE Sumin - - 1% 6% 28% 50% 16%
45 PALANSKI Cate - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
46 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
47 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
48 SEMIKIN Julia - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
49 GAJJALA Sharika R. - 2% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
50 LEE Michelle - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
51 LUO Ashley - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
52 KIM Elizabeth Y. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
53 CALDERA Lexi I. - 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 4%
54 WANG Karen - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
55 POPA Catherine 8% 39% 38% 14% 2% - -
56 LAN Alice S. - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
57 MOSKOFF Tessa - 1% 14% 37% 36% 12%
58 KHROL Caralina - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
59 PARTE Isabella B. 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
60 KIM Erika S. - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
61 DESAI Meera P. - 3% 24% 41% 26% 6%
62 LEUNG Natalie - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
63 CHIRASHNYA Noya 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
64 LEE Yedda 1% 6% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
65 MCLANE Lauren - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
66 ZUHARS Renee A. - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
67 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% < 1%
68 GANDHI Sedna S. - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
69 ZHANG Tina - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
70 BURN Lauren M. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
71 HUANG audrey 11% 36% 36% 15% 3% < 1% -
72 MILEWSKI Nicole - 2% 10% 27% 37% 22% 3%
73 GITHENS Gracyn J. - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
74 DANIEL Olivia - 1% 15% 37% 35% 11%
75 MACHULSKY Leehi - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
76 JAMES Josephine - 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
76 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
78 GUMAGAY Erika L. - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
79 ELLENT Isabella S. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
80 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
81 MEHROTRA Anya - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
82 LOWENSTEIN Penelope J. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
83 DRONAMRAJU Navya 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
84 GHIDINA O'Livia G. - - - 3% 21% 46% 29%
85 BECCHINA Olivia - 2% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
85 FELAND Alexandra 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
87 REMEZA Alissa 1% 6% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
88 LABRACHE Ella P. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
89 YU Nicole J. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
90 HUNTER Madison 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
91 LU Samantha R. 1% 9% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
92 RUNIONS Emersyn - 2% 10% 29% 38% 18% 3%
93 TOLBA Salma - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
94 DARANOUVONG Logan - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
94 PEHLIVANI Zara - 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
96 WEBER Nora - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
97 WALBERT Charlotte B. 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
98 ZHU-HILL Alice A. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
99 GLICK Nina 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
100 PANT Anisha 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
101 ZHANG Victoria R. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
102 CHANG Ella 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
103 LEE Kaitlyn S. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
104 SINHA Zara 10% 39% 36% 13% 2% - -
105 LONG Madeline M. 9% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
106 KOKES Ava 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
107 MILLARD Lily C. 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
108 PADHYE Tanishka - 4% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
109 GOEDICKE Elway 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
110 MING Cynthia 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
111 TSANG JAFFE Avi - 1% 12% 33% 37% 16% 1%
112 GLASER Drew 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
113 GAO Judy 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
114 MIN MAGNOLIA - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 1%
115 OPERARIO Abigail Z. - 3% 16% 38% 32% 10% 1%
116 ANDERSON Nora E. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
117 KIM Zoe L. - 2% 10% 29% 38% 20% 1%
118 RAZA Nadia A. 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
118 DILLE Carolina G. 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
120 SCHMULTS Sophie W. 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
121 NGUYEN Tallulah 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
122 HICKS Grace 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
123 FLO Sena 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
124 CHERNIS Zoe C. - - 4% 20% 40% 31% 4%
125 WITTE Vera 4% 32% 41% 19% 3% - -
126 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
126 LI Charlotte 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
128 ELSTON Sophia 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
129 RUMMEL Katherine E. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
130 PALMER Amelia C. 5% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
131 WATRALL Christina - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
132 BUCUR Naomi - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
133 KENT Elizabeth J. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
134 PAN Michelle - 4% 17% 33% 32% 12% 1%
135 LI Alisha 6% 29% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
135 LI Michelle 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
137 YAO KATHARINE - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
138 STOECKEL Sofia I. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
139 SON Katherine (Injee) 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% 1%
140 DUAN Jenny S. 12% 38% 34% 14% 3% - -
141 ZENG Katrina 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
142 SHERTZ Kira E. 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1% -
143 KIZILBASH Zara 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
144 BYBEE Lucy J. 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
145 MUELLER Emma M. 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
146 BARRETT Elisabeth 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
147 TAYLOR Kiera S. - 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3%
148 CHOI Grace 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
149 HU Chelsea 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
150 WEINSIER Ryan 1% 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
151 LEE Rachel 1% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
152 JOSEPH mikayla 8% 32% 40% 17% 3% - -
153 MORAN Rhea 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
153 HSU Adele Y. 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
155 KIM Jayna 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
156 ZHENG Linden 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
157 KEE Bea Isabelle 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
158 RAUSCH Juliana - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
159 LIN Elaine 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
160 XU Jessica 10% 60% 26% 4% - -
161 LEWIS Sophia 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
162 MUN Brianna K. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
162 GREGORY Aleksandra 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
164 YU Bailey 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
165 DOWNARD Audrianna 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
166 POPOVICI Alina B. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
166 PEREZ Ariana 59% 35% 6% - - - -
168 YPHANTIDES Anthi 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
169 MESCHIA Maggie 2% 21% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
169 DU Angela 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
171 JEAN Olympe G. 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
172 SWENSON Nikita G. 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
173 BOHRER Shira 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
174 SCHULTZ Gillian 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
174 LO Sabrina S. - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
174 FURST Chloe 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
177 PECK Maia A. - 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
178 YIN Grace 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
179 KNOEPFFLER ANDREA V. 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
180 GOSHKO Audrey 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
181 FRYDRYK Sydney K. 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
182 BANKULLA Misha R. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
183 FRIEDLANDER Sarah 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
184 CHEN Quanyou Lisa 93% 7% - - - - -
185 GAURIAT Jade S. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
186 LI Vivian 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
187 ZALEWSKI Rosalyn 21% 48% 25% 5% - - -
188 SINGH Aayushi 81% 18% 1% - - -
189 DREFKE Sigrid 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
189 HABERMAN Hailey 1% 28% 45% 22% 4% - -
191 FARICY Aislynn A. 22% 44% 27% 6% 1% - -
191 WILLIAMS Sophia 16% 60% 21% 3% - - -
193 PANDEY Aashna 86% 13% 1% - - - -
194 ODOM Megan A. 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
194 NELSON Grace E. 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
196 STOCK Olivia 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
197 LEE Samantha X. 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
198 BROWN Hannah 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
200 MACEY Hadley 30% 44% 21% 5% - - -
201 YIM Rachael 68% 28% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.