USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Saber

Thursday, July 4, 2019 at 11:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TRAVERS Samir T. - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
2 BRAR Sanjeet 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
3 GILES Jeremy M. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
3 DESAI Drewv D. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
5 MAHONEY Colin M. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
5 WESLER Logan A. - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
7 RAJA Arnav - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
8 LIU David J. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
9 BERGER Oliver - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
10 GHOSH Tuhin - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
11 CHAMBERS Amir E. - - 2% 10% 27% 38% 22%
12 PARK Collin D. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
13 WALKER Robert Connor 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
14 GANTA Vijay - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
15 NEUHEARDT Peter - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
16 SATHE Tej R. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
17 LASORSA Matthew - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
18 LAU Jeremy Y. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
19 ROPER Evan C. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
20 CHANG Colin S. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
20 ZHOU Kevin - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
22 TANG Alex Y. - - - 5% 30% 65%
23 GREENE Alexander J. - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
24 RESHEIDAT Malik - 1% 8% 29% 39% 21% 4%
25 JEAN Noe T. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
26 ASHBY Ethan J. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
27 WRIGHT Athan 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
28 TANN Justin - 1% 6% 19% 35% 30% 9%
29 PAPA Christopher - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
30 LO Joshua H. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
31 QIN Alexander 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
32 GREENE Cameron J. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
33 HUANG Eric - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
34 HASNAH Henry - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
35 BERMAN Luca - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
36 CHEN Niles Z. - - 4% 23% 47% 26%
37 YEN Preston - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
38 ATEFI Daniel - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
39 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
40 MAGUIRE Matthew V. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
41 POPE Nico - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
42 PATTON Colin T. 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 7% 1%
43 CHAN Daniel 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
43 XU Luke 1% 7% 26% 40% 24% 3%
45 VILLARREAL Mateo 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
46 SEIDEL Jonathan J. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
47 BAUER Hank E. 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
48 PARKER Timothy S. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
49 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
50 TSODIKOV Matthew G. - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
51 ALKEMPER Tristan H. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
52 TUPPER Edward A. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
53 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
54 BOYLE Dylan - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
55 BARBEE Jackson 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
56 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
57 BOURGHOL Matthew 3% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
58 RIERDAN Michael R. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
59 GREENBAUM Ian L. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
60 COVINGTON Max G. 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% -
61 BULL Anderson 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
62 EPSTEIN Henry N. 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 6% 1%
63 VO Minh Q. 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
64 ZHOU Brian 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
65 PEAGLER Cameron - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
66 YOUNG Brendon - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
67 KAYDALIN Artyom - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
68 TONG ZACHARY - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
69 MYERS Kaleb S. - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
70 DELARUE NELSON Y. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
71 GREEN IV James (Bud) - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
72 HURST Alexander 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
73 STEINMETZ John 2% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
74 LEMPERT Levy A. - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 7%
75 DEWEY Charles J. 6% 31% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
75 SCHARDINE Ryan - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
77 HUAYTA James W. - 2% 9% 24% 33% 24% 7%
78 PETRAMALE Samuel J. - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
78 JIANG Kevin 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
80 MESHKOV Peter A. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
81 RONGET Gaspard - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
82 RANSOME Jahi 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
83 BAILEY Nate 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
84 BOHRA Rohan 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
85 ROBERTS Sam 21% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
86 NUMAN Yazan M. - 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
87 CHO Brandon - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
88 CACERES Hernan - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
89 WYCHE Scott H. - 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
90 LUO ZIRUI - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5%
91 REYES Xavier M. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
91 SHASHA zane - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
93 COLLINS Andrew M. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
94 LIU Edward H. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
95 MYLEK Peter - 2% 10% 27% 34% 22% 5%
96 DOUCET Justin P. 1% 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
97 PINTO Gabriel R. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
98 SGHERZI Vincent 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
99 HONG Vincent Q. 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
100 ZHOU Miles 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
101 RAUSCHER Ryan 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
102 BUKOWSKI Todd 2% 14% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
102 YOU Jaden 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
104 GOCHMAN Max - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
105 BRUSIE Christopher R. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
105 BOWDEN JR. William 2% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
107 JUNG Ho(Daniel) (Daniel) Y. - 5% 19% 34% 28% 11% 2%
108 GHENEA George Philipe 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
109 TANG Albert - 2% 15% 39% 35% 9%
110 SCHERER Max 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
111 DU Gavin J. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
112 GOSMEYER Matthew E. 3% 17% 36% 33% 11% -
113 RICKERT Michael A. 4% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
114 LEE Conner M. 2% 14% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
115 HWANG Ryan C. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
116 MENTA Varun 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
117 CLAWSON Amzie - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
118 LAI Daniel 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
119 NEVILLE Eli - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
119 REBELLO Derek 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
121 HOEY-WASOW Henry 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
122 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. - 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
122 AYAN Bron 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
124 WILLIAMS Chris - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
125 JAWOROWSKI Matthew - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
126 WEHLE Paul 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
127 FRANKEL Yitzchok A. - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
128 NEWTON Payden 14% 40% 35% 10% 1% -
129 XU Michael 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
130 CHENG Kyle 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
131 MCELLIGOTT Caden R. 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
131 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 17% 43% 31% 8% 1% - -
133 NGUYEN Andrew 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
134 KARPINSKI Michael A. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
135 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 1%
136 SHAO Peter 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
137 BURNS Brendan 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
138 FORBES Wyatt 14% 46% 32% 8% 1% -
139 KOTOV Leonid 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
140 FOX Nicholas 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
141 PHILLIPS Wesley Y. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
142 SCHARDINE James 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
143 CORNICHUCK Cale L. 22% 49% 24% 5% - - -
143 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 10% 29% 34% 20% 7% 1% -
143 COLLINS William 7% 28% 36% 21% 7% 1% -
146 ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. - 5% 25% 40% 23% 5% -
147 LOPEZ Lucas M. 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
147 MOULTON Ian 34% 43% 19% 3% - - -
147 PITTS Connor 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
150 MURZYN III CJ 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
151 BARDWELL Jr Douglas W. 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
152 RIGHTLER Samuel 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
153 FURMAN Thomas G. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
153 KOSURI Harsha 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
155 XU Ruoran 14% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
156 DONNELLON James G. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
157 TIERNO Thomas J. 23% 54% 20% 3% - - -
158 REED Samuel J. 8% 34% 40% 16% 3% - -
159 KORINTH Alexander J. 12% 41% 34% 11% 2% - -
159 WONG Matthew 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
161 DUNN John (Jack) F. 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
162 ROZENTAL Robert 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
162 GINSBURG Daniel 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
164 SHEN Xuanlan 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
165 ELDER John 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
165 LOHMAN Lucas 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
167 SOLANKI Dhruv S. 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
167 DEFORD Kevin W. 49% 43% 7% - - - -
169 NEVILLE James 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
171 BENNING Conor 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.