USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Saber

Thursday, July 4, 2019 at 11:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
2 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
3 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
3 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
5 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
5 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
7 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
8 LIU David J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 6%
9 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
10 GHOSH Tuhin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11%
11 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22%
12 PARK Collin D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
13 WALKER Robert Connor 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
14 GANTA Vijay 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
15 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
16 SATHE Tej R. 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
17 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
18 LAU Jeremy Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
19 ROPER Evan C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
20 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
20 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
22 TANG Alex Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
23 GREENE Alexander J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
24 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
25 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
26 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
27 WRIGHT Athan 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
28 TANN Justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
29 PAPA Christopher 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
30 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
31 QIN Alexander 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
32 GREENE Cameron J. 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 3% -
33 HUANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
34 HASNAH Henry 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
35 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
36 CHEN Niles Z. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 26%
37 YEN Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
38 ATEFI Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
39 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
40 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
41 POPE Nico 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
42 PATTON Colin T. 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 7% 1%
43 CHAN Daniel 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
43 XU Luke 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 3%
45 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
46 SEIDEL Jonathan J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
47 BAUER Hank E. 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
48 PARKER Timothy S. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
49 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
50 TSODIKOV Matthew G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
51 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
52 TUPPER Edward A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
53 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
54 BOYLE Dylan 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
55 BARBEE Jackson 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
56 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
57 BOURGHOL Matthew 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
58 RIERDAN Michael R. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 11% 1%
59 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
60 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
61 BULL Anderson 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
62 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 98% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
63 VO Minh Q. 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
64 ZHOU Brian 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 10% 1%
65 PEAGLER Cameron 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
66 YOUNG Brendon 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
67 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 100% 97% 83% 56% 23% 4%
68 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
69 MYERS Kaleb S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
70 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
71 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
72 HURST Alexander 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
73 STEINMETZ John 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
74 LEMPERT Levy A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
75 DEWEY Charles J. 100% 94% 64% 25% 6% 1% -
75 SCHARDINE Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
77 HUAYTA James W. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
78 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
78 JIANG Kevin 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
80 MESHKOV Peter A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
81 RONGET Gaspard 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
82 RANSOME Jahi 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
83 BAILEY Nate 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
84 BOHRA Rohan 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
85 ROBERTS Sam 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
86 NUMAN Yazan M. 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
87 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
88 CACERES Hernan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
89 WYCHE Scott H. 100% 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
90 LUO ZIRUI 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
91 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
91 SHASHA zane 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
93 COLLINS Andrew M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
94 LIU Edward H. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
95 MYLEK Peter 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
96 DOUCET Justin P. 100% 99% 89% 50% 16% 2% -
97 PINTO Gabriel R. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
98 SGHERZI Vincent 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
99 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
100 ZHOU Miles 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 6% 1%
101 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
102 BUKOWSKI Todd 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
102 YOU Jaden 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
104 GOCHMAN Max 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
105 BRUSIE Christopher R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
105 BOWDEN JR. William 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
107 JUNG Ho(Daniel) (Daniel) Y. 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
108 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
109 TANG Albert 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
110 SCHERER Max 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
111 DU Gavin J. 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
112 GOSMEYER Matthew E. 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% -
113 RICKERT Michael A. 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
114 LEE Conner M. 100% 98% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
115 HWANG Ryan C. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
116 MENTA Varun 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
117 CLAWSON Amzie 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
118 LAI Daniel 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
119 NEVILLE Eli 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 2%
119 REBELLO Derek 100% 99% 89% 61% 28% 7% 1%
121 HOEY-WASOW Henry 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 9% 1%
122 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
122 AYAN Bron 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
124 WILLIAMS Chris 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
125 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
126 WEHLE Paul 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
127 FRANKEL Yitzchok A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
128 NEWTON Payden 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
129 XU Michael 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
130 CHENG Kyle 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
131 MCELLIGOTT Caden R. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
131 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 100% 83% 40% 8% 1% - -
133 NGUYEN Andrew 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
134 KARPINSKI Michael A. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
135 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 1%
136 SHAO Peter 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
137 BURNS Brendan 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
138 FORBES Wyatt 100% 86% 40% 8% 1% -
139 KOTOV Leonid 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
140 FOX Nicholas 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
141 PHILLIPS Wesley Y. 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
142 SCHARDINE James 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
143 CORNICHUCK Cale L. 100% 78% 29% 5% - - -
143 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
143 COLLINS William 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
146 ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 6% -
147 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
147 MOULTON Ian 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
147 PITTS Connor 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
150 MURZYN III CJ 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
151 BARDWELL Jr Douglas W. 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
152 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
153 FURMAN Thomas G. 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
153 KOSURI Harsha 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
155 XU Ruoran 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% - -
156 DONNELLON James G. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
157 TIERNO Thomas J. 100% 77% 23% 3% - - -
158 REED Samuel J. 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% - -
159 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% - -
159 WONG Matthew 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
161 DUNN John (Jack) F. 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% -
162 ROZENTAL Robert 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
162 GINSBURG Daniel 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
164 SHEN Xuanlan 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
165 ELDER John 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
165 LOHMAN Lucas 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
167 SOLANKI Dhruv S. 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
167 DEFORD Kevin W. 100% 51% 7% - - - -
169 NEVILLE James 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
171 BENNING Conor 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.