USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Women's Saber

Thursday, July 4, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VALADEZ Emily T. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
2 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
3 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
3 DESAI Maya D. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
5 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
6 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
7 FERRARI-BRIDGERS Marinella O. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 20% 3%
8 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
9 WANG Elsabella Y. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
10 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
11 KUZNETSOVA Nastassja 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
12 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
13 PETTIT Sara M. 100% 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
14 SCHMITT Alana P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
15 ROGERS Pauline E. 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
16 YODER Bridget H. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7%
17 MANUBAG Amanda R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
18 TOM Kristen Noelle C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
19 FISHER Nicole C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
20 BALMASEDA Sabrina F. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
21 XU Ellen 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
22 KOO Samantha 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
23 SHAY-TANNAS Zoe 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
24 XI Shining 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
25 KOBERSTEIN Maggie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
26 MERRIAM Katherine I. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
27 FEIGELES Carolyn A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
28 CHANG Emily 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
29 NEIBART Fiona 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
30 LARIMER Katherine E. 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
31 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
32 DHAR Aamina 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
33 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
34 LAMBERT Jasmine M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
35 CHERNOMORSKY Alexandra E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
36 DARINGA Arianna 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
37 CHEN Chloe Y. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
38 OXENSTIERNA Carolina 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
39 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
40 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
41 GULATI Ria 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
42 MEIEROVICH Sophie 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 14% 2%
43 BENTOLILA Thalia 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
44 ABOUDAHER Janna A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
45 EDWARDS Darby 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
46 RHIE Lena 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
47 LIM Isabel K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
48 NIELSEN Dianna M. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
49 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
50 ROBINSON Stella 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
51 BAE EMMELINE 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
52 EDGINGTON Grace 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 11%
53 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
54 PLONKA Kaley V. 100% 95% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
55 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 6%
56 MILLER Mattea K. 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
57 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
58 SKAGGS Natalie M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
59 KALRA Siya L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
60 BINSTOCK Mari I. 100% 100% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
61 NOBREGA Carolina S. 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
62 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
63 IYER Mohini R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
64 GEYER Carolina M. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
65 MACE Eliza M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
66 PATEL Riya 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
67 WILSON Isley N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
68 PETE Gillian C. 100% 95% 66% 28% 6% 1%
69 SUN Alyssa 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
70 NORMAN Lillia M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
70 YURT Leyla 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
72 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
73 SHINN-CUNNINGHAM Barbara 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
73 LOCKETT Audrey 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
75 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
76 CANNON Sophia E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
77 ZINNI Kaylyn M. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
78 FAUCHER Erin 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
79 TSAI Anna A. 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
80 BAWA Sanya 100% 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2%
81 DODRILL Brooke 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
82 NI Sharon 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
83 HURST Kennedy 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
84 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
85 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
86 KITTLE Lauren 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
87 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
88 DANIELS Erica 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
89 CHEN Grace 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
90 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 99% 82% 46% 16% 3% -
91 SHIH Christina 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
92 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
93 HOVERMAN Hannah A. 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
94 GUZMAN Claudia 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
95 OSBORN Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
96 KIM Sujin 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
96 HOLMES Emma 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
98 HUA Catherine W. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
99 CLIFTON Nicole R. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
99 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
101 MEYTIN Sophia E. 100% 86% 33% 6% 1% - -
102 GRIFFIN Afwe 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
103 BATRA Simran 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
104 STOODLEY Theresa R. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
105 SCHIKORE Anna M. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
106 PANIGRAHI Sophia 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
106 BILILIES Sophia 100% 94% 56% 18% 3% - -
108 HAYES Grace Y. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
109 GORDON Sarah 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
110 JIN Olivia P. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
111 BENTOLILA Yedida 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
112 WU Michelle 100% 96% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
113 SPORN Melanie 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
114 GLUCK Myriam 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
115 ZENG Xiaoyi 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
116 BHOGAL Sukhleen 100% 37% 6% - - - -
117 HUANG Tina 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% - -
118 BOWDEN Ms Hope A. 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
119 KIM Nam Heui 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
119 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
121 STARR Cynthia (Cindy) H. 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% -
122 GLUCK Ariel 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
122 LITTLE Shannon 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
125 WHEELER Kira 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
126 WONG Isabelle S. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
128 ELDER Rhiannon C. 100% 27% 3% - - - -
129 MORO Diana 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.