USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, July 5, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POSSICK Lola P. - - - - 1% 18% 81%
2 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
3 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - - 1% 7% 38% 54%
3 OISHI Megumi - - - 3% 14% 39% 45%
5 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
6 SHOMAN Jenna - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
7 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
8 CARVALHO Isabela A. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
9 CHIN Erika J. - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
10 BLUM Leah I. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
11 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. - - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7%
12 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn - - - - 6% 40% 54%
13 GREENBAUM Ella K. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
14 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - - 1% 16% 83%
15 CHIOLDI Mina - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
16 NEWELL Alexia C. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 4%
17 TAO Hannah J. - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
18 STONE Hava S. - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
19 TONG Kunling - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
20 BOIS Adele - - - 2% 16% 56% 27%
21 TIMOFEYEV Nicole - - - 6% 28% 43% 22%
22 SHEARER Natalie E. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
23 YANG Ashley M. - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 13%
23 CALLAHAN Chase J. - - 6% 25% 39% 25% 6%
25 LEE Alexandra B. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
26 ENGELMAN Madeline A. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
26 OLSEN Natalie J. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
28 PAK Kaitlyn - - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
29 CHANG Josephine S. - - 1% 7% 27% 45% 20%
30 WU Erica L. - - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
31 WILSON Isley N. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
32 KER Grace - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7% 1%
33 WIGGERS Susan Q. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
34 XU Ellen - 4% 22% 39% 27% 6%
35 D'ORAZIO Isabella - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
36 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
37 JOHNSON Lauren - 1% 11% 32% 38% 15% 2%
38 MIKA Veronica - - 1% 6% 28% 48% 16%
39 KONG Carys H. - - 2% 21% 42% 29% 7%
39 FANG Victoria W. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
41 LIN Audrey J. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
42 YONG Erika E. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
43 LUKASHENKO Angelina - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
44 CHEN Xinyan - 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% -
45 LI Victoria J. - 1% 12% 34% 38% 15%
46 LIN Angela - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
47 BUHAY Rachel T. - - 1% 9% 30% 44% 16%
48 ALCEBAR Kayla - - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
48 PAUL Lila - - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
50 JULIEN Michelle - 3% 15% 32% 34% 14% 2%
51 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
52 ARNIPALLI Hamsika - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 2%
53 VESTEL Mira B. - - 1% 9% 32% 45% 14%
53 SINHA Anika - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
53 YUAN Greta - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
56 PRIEUR Lauren - 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
57 ERIKSON Kira R. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
58 YANG Angelina - 2% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
59 TODD Phoebe 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
60 NOVICK Mia J. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
61 CHEEMA Sophia - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
62 MAREK SOFIA - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
63 OBRADOVIC Ana 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
64 ROMAGNOLI Isabella - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
65 FEARNS Zara A. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
66 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
66 NYSTROM Sofia C. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
68 SATHE Mehek S. - 3% 18% 36% 32% 11% -
69 CODY Alexandra C. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
70 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
71 KRASTEV Minna - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
72 ATLURI Sara V. - - 1% 22% 43% 28% 6%
73 SOURIMTO Valeria - - 3% 14% 35% 39% 10%
74 JIN Olivia P. 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
74 HUNG Anna 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4% -
76 KONG Isabel - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
77 DUBOIS Lauren N. - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
77 WANG Zidan 2% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
77 DANK Dina 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
80 HILD Nisha - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
81 BALAKUMARAN Maya - 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3%
82 ENDO Miyuki N. 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
83 XI Shining - 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
84 LIAO Siwen 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
85 SHIH Christina 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
86 FU Linqian (Helen) 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
87 SHI Cathleen 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
88 BAKER Audrey C. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23% 2%
89 BENOIT Adelaide L. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
90 ZENG Xiaoyi 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
91 LI Amanda C. - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
92 KALRA Himani V. - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
93 DUCKETT Madison 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
94 SU Emma 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
95 ZINNI Kaylyn M. - - 5% 24% 42% 25% 2%
96 PROCACCINI Ashten V. - - - 9% 33% 41% 16%
97 PLONKA Kaley V. 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
98 HURST Kennedy 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
99 SADOVA Olga - 5% 23% 37% 27% 7% -
100 DAVIS Jayna M. 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
100 ANDRES Charmaine G. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
102 SHOMAN Miriam - - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
103 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
104 ANDRES Katherine A. - 1% 4% 18% 36% 33% 9%
105 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. - 4% 17% 33% 32% 12% 1%
106 NEIBART Fiona 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
107 LEE Sophia 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
108 LIGH Erenei J. 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
109 KRYLOVA Valery - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
110 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
111 XIKES Katherine E. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
112 FERRARI-BRIDGERS Marinella O. 1% 8% 30% 38% 19% 3%
113 CHEN Grace 1% 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
114 CHIN Sophia J. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
115 TRAN Thya K. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
116 MANSPERGER Leena - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
117 GORMAN Victoria M. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
118 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
119 XU Emily T. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
120 GHAYALOD reya - 1% 11% 34% 40% 13% 1%
121 CHEN Celina Z. 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1% -
122 WHALEN Paige C. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
123 YERRAMILLI Kavya - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8% 1%
124 MCMAHON Byronie 18% 47% 28% 7% 1% -
125 PATEL Riya - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12% 1%
126 GOMES Diana C. 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
127 ANTHONY Alexia B. 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
128 HOLMES Emma 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
129 LU Amy 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
130 BIAS Lailah N. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
131 GRINBERG Aliya 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
132 PASHIN Anna - 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
133 MORAN Rhea 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
134 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
135 BENTOLILA Thalia 1% 9% 31% 39% 17% 3% -
136 HUANG Tina 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
137 VADASZ Ibla P. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
138 BURCH Keona Y. - 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4%
139 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 38% 49% 13% - - - -
140 FERREIRA Alejandra E. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
141 LAU Dara L. 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
142 HELLER Mikenna E. 3% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
143 WEI Vivian W. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
144 MEYTIN Sophia E. 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
145 BARRIE Sadie Q. 19% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
146 LEVITIS Danielle 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
147 GUTMAN Valeria 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
148 SIMONIAN Olivia A. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
149 LEE Hannah 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
150 MUNGOVAN Cecilia C. 28% 48% 21% 4% - - -
151 HWANG Gabriela M. 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
152 ADAMS Morrigan B. 38% 46% 14% 2% - - -
153 GRAFF Sophie 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
154 DILLE Carolina G. 5% 31% 39% 20% 4% - -
155 MU Vicki Y. 2% 20% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
156 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
157 GUTHIKONDA Sunanya 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
158 PI Sophia 24% 44% 26% 5% - - -
159 BOLTON Eleksi M. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
160 GORDON Sarah 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
161 JAVERI Amaya 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
162 CHIANG Emily 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
162 SULLIVAN Kate 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
164 MCKEE Ainsley 6% 44% 39% 10% 1% - -
165 TSOI Julie 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
165 DAVIS Jordan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
167 YEN Natalie 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
168 JEAN Olympe G. 10% 45% 35% 9% 1% - -
169 MESSICK Maya 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
169 JUNG Irene 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
171 TSAI Anna A. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
171 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 18% 39% 31% 11% 1% - -
173 CZEKAJEWSKA Sonia M. 11% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
174 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
174 LU Elaine 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
176 NG Sarah W. 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
176 LIN Lauren 16% 54% 28% 3% - - -
178 MESCHIA Maggie 51% 41% 8% 1% - - -
179 PYO Penelope E. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
179 IYER Anaika 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
181 CRUZ Sonia 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
182 WUNNAVA Elina 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
183 BAKER Amelia M. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
184 ELNATAN Mica A. 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
185 HENRY Soraya S. 21% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
186 KIM Marley I. 1% 9% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
186 BARNOVITZ Maya 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
188 SIDDIQUI Reem 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
189 SHANNON Sara 78% 20% 1% - - - -
189 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
189 PATEL Karitsa 15% 46% 36% 3% - - -
189 FLETCHER Belen 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
193 CHAGARES Sarah M. 48% 41% 10% 1% - -
194 CARRASCO Elle 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
194 TREACY Aisling 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
196 WILMORE Claire 27% 54% 17% 2% - - -
197 BELTRAN Emilia M. 11% 43% 35% 10% 1% - -
197 FREY Sarah E. 70% 26% 4% - - - -
199 EVANS Madelynn 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
200 BLUMSTEIN Alannah 66% 30% 4% - - - -
201 LIN Sophia 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.