USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, July 5, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
2 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
3 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
3 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45%
5 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
6 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
7 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
8 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
9 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
10 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
11 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 7%
12 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 54%
13 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
14 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
15 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
16 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 4%
17 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
18 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
19 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
20 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 27%
21 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
22 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
23 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
23 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6%
25 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
26 ENGELMAN Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
26 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
28 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
29 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
30 WU Erica L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
31 WILSON Isley N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
32 KER Grace 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
33 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
34 XU Ellen 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
35 D'ORAZIO Isabella 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
36 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
37 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 17% 2%
38 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 16%
39 KONG Carys H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 36% 7%
39 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
41 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
42 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
43 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
44 CHEN Xinyan 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 6% -
45 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
46 LIN Angela 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 3%
47 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
48 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
48 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
50 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
51 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6% -
52 ARNIPALLI Hamsika 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23% 2%
53 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 14%
53 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
53 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 20% 2%
56 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
57 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
58 YANG Angelina 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
59 TODD Phoebe 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
60 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
61 CHEEMA Sophia 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
62 MAREK SOFIA 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
63 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
64 ROMAGNOLI Isabella 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
65 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
66 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
66 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
68 SATHE Mehek S. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% -
69 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
70 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
71 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
72 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 77% 34% 6%
73 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 10%
74 JIN Olivia P. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
74 HUNG Anna 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4% -
76 KONG Isabel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
77 DUBOIS Lauren N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
77 WANG Zidan 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1% -
77 DANK Dina 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
80 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
81 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 3%
82 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
83 XI Shining 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
84 LIAO Siwen 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6% -
85 SHIH Christina 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% - -
86 FU Linqian (Helen) 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
87 SHI Cathleen 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
88 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 2%
89 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
90 ZENG Xiaoyi 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
91 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
92 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
93 DUCKETT Madison 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
94 SU Emma 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
95 ZINNI Kaylyn M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 2%
96 PROCACCINI Ashten V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 57% 16%
97 PLONKA Kaley V. 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
98 HURST Kennedy 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
99 SADOVA Olga 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% -
100 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 5% -
100 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
102 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
103 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
104 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
105 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
106 NEIBART Fiona 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
107 LEE Sophia 100% 98% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
108 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% -
109 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
110 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
111 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
112 FERRARI-BRIDGERS Marinella O. 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
113 CHEN Grace 100% 99% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
114 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
115 TRAN Thya K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
116 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
117 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
118 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
119 XU Emily T. 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
120 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14% 1%
121 CHEN Celina Z. 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1% -
122 WHALEN Paige C. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
123 YERRAMILLI Kavya 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% 1%
124 MCMAHON Byronie 100% 82% 35% 7% 1% -
125 PATEL Riya 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 13% 1%
126 GOMES Diana C. 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
127 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2% -
128 HOLMES Emma 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
129 LU Amy 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
130 BIAS Lailah N. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
131 GRINBERG Aliya 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
132 PASHIN Anna 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
133 MORAN Rhea 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
134 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
135 BENTOLILA Thalia 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3% -
136 HUANG Tina 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
137 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
138 BURCH Keona Y. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4%
139 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 62% 13% - - - -
140 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
141 LAU Dara L. 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
142 HELLER Mikenna E. 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
143 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
144 MEYTIN Sophia E. 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
145 BARRIE Sadie Q. 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
146 LEVITIS Danielle 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
147 GUTMAN Valeria 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
148 SIMONIAN Olivia A. 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
149 LEE Hannah 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
150 MUNGOVAN Cecilia C. 100% 72% 25% 4% - - -
151 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% -
152 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 62% 16% 2% - - -
153 GRAFF Sophie 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
154 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 95% 63% 24% 5% - -
155 MU Vicki Y. 100% 98% 78% 34% 8% 1% -
156 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
157 GUTHIKONDA Sunanya 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
158 PI Sophia 100% 76% 32% 6% - - -
159 BOLTON Eleksi M. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% -
160 GORDON Sarah 100% 83% 47% 15% 3% - -
161 JAVERI Amaya 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
162 CHIANG Emily 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
162 SULLIVAN Kate 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
164 MCKEE Ainsley 100% 94% 50% 12% 1% - -
165 TSOI Julie 100% 98% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
165 DAVIS Jordan 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
167 YEN Natalie 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
168 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 90% 45% 10% 1% - -
169 MESSICK Maya 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
169 JUNG Irene 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
171 TSAI Anna A. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
171 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
173 CZEKAJEWSKA Sonia M. 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
174 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
174 LU Elaine 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
176 NG Sarah W. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
176 LIN Lauren 100% 84% 31% 3% - - -
178 MESCHIA Maggie 100% 49% 8% 1% - - -
179 PYO Penelope E. 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
179 IYER Anaika 100% 84% 43% 12% 1% - -
181 CRUZ Sonia 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
182 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
183 BAKER Amelia M. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
184 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
185 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
186 KIM Marley I. 100% 99% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
186 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
188 SIDDIQUI Reem 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
189 SHANNON Sara 100% 22% 1% - - - -
189 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
189 PATEL Karitsa 100% 85% 39% 3% - - -
189 FLETCHER Belen 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
193 CHAGARES Sarah M. 100% 52% 11% 1% - -
194 CARRASCO Elle 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
194 TREACY Aisling 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -
196 WILMORE Claire 100% 73% 19% 2% - - -
197 BELTRAN Emilia M. 100% 89% 46% 11% 1% - -
197 FREY Sarah E. 100% 30% 4% - - - -
199 EVANS Madelynn 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
200 BLUMSTEIN Alannah 100% 34% 4% - - - -
201 LIN Sophia 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.