USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, July 6, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JING Emily - - - 3% 21% 50% 25%
2 PEVZNER Victoria - - - - 2% 20% 78%
3 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 CHEN Jia P. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
5 ZHANG Alina C. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
6 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - - - 3% 18% 45% 35%
7 JANG Kimberley - - 1% 13% 44% 41%
8 LAMBERT Mahala - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
9 GUERRA Sofia E. - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
9 SOOD Ishani S. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
11 LUNG Katerina - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
12 TAN Kaitlyn N. - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
13 PANT Anisha - - 1% 9% 31% 40% 18%
14 CHUSID Mikayla - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
15 BATRA Chaahat - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
16 FU Qihan - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 4%
17 HAMZA Malak - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
18 WANDJI Anais - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
18 SU Alena J. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
20 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari - - - - 3% 26% 71%
21 TANG AI JIA - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
22 SHEN Lydia - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
23 KOSTELNY Alexis - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
24 AHMED Hannah - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
25 LIU Jaelyn A. - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20% 2%
26 LEE Bethanie - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
27 SIMONOV Dasha - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
28 LI Rachel Y. - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
29 PENG Amber L. - - 5% 24% 48% 23%
30 SU Michelle - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
31 KULKARNI Sohah A. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
32 VAUGHAN Norah 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
33 EYER Hailey M. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
34 SENIC Adeline - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
35 SUN Ruoxi - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
36 ZHAO Aileen Y. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
37 SUN Chien-Yu - - 4% 21% 42% 29% 3%
38 LEE Lavender - - 5% 22% 42% 28% 3%
39 CHEN Allison V. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
40 WONG Sophia M. - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
41 NIKOLIC Alexandra - - 7% 27% 41% 22% 3%
42 DAVIS Bonnie Z. - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
43 CANNON Lira J. 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
44 GOOR Viviene E. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
45 CHO Rebecca H. - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
46 ROY Layla 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
46 KOKES Gwendolen 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
48 CUI Amy - 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1%
49 GU EMILY 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
50 ZHAO Sophie L. - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
51 SHA Yi Ling 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
52 UPTON Sydney - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
53 WANG Zoie Z. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
54 CHANG Elizabeth - 3% 20% 41% 30% 6% -
55 SEO IRENE Y. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
56 LIN Victoria T. 1% 13% 37% 35% 13% 2%
57 YEN Natalie - - 3% 18% 37% 32% 8%
58 NOVIKOV Allegra 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
59 WANG Chloe - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
60 AYUPOVA AMELIYA 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% -
61 UMAP Arna - 8% 33% 39% 17% 2% -
62 WU Celine - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
63 RAO Sonia D. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
64 HAYES Alyssa R. 3% 23% 39% 27% 8% 1%
65 HOANG Mai - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
66 FURST Chloe 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
67 MI Aileen 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
68 ZHANG Eunice 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
69 CHARALEL Jessica 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
70 ORVANANOS Anice - - 1% 12% 36% 37% 13%
71 MANIKTALA Prisha 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
72 LEE Samantha X. - 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
73 TOM Caitlyn - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
74 LIU Angel(Daying) - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
75 SHMAY Anastasia - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16% 2%
76 KOSLOW Amicie - 1% 5% 19% 38% 32% 5%
77 ZULUETA Catherine 1% 18% 41% 31% 8% 1%
78 WEI Vika - 4% 19% 40% 28% 8% 1%
79 WANG Jasmine 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
80 LEE Allison 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
81 TUCKER ALARCON Frida 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
82 RANDOLPH Piper - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
82 LEE Fiona E. 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
84 FEDELI Caterina S. - - - 2% 14% 44% 39%
85 COOPER Piper W. 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
86 LAI Evelyn - 7% 31% 40% 19% 3% -
87 ZHENG Julie - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
88 LIU Zhaoyi - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
89 GAO Anna 33% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
90 GONG Chloe 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
91 ZHUANG Sophie 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
92 TRACZ Calleigh D. 19% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
93 WELBORN Calissa 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
94 CASTANEDA Keira - 2% 13% 33% 38% 15%
95 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 2% 26% 43% 24% 5% -
96 CHEN Chloe I. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
97 SHINKAREV Olga 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
98 HAN Crystal - 3% 18% 39% 32% 9%
99 BEAVER Kaitlyn 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
100 KIM Rachel 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
101 LI Irina 8% 48% 34% 9% 1% - -
102 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia - - 3% 19% 40% 32% 6%
103 BAWA Sahana 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
104 WILLIS Fletcher L. - 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% -
105 SOLDATOVA Maria 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 4% -
106 OLSHANSKY Eliora S. 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
107 LUO Sandra J. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
108 BHARATHI Maithreyi S. 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
109 GAMRADT Taylor 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
110 POPOKH Aleksandra 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
111 OTEYZA Camille 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
112 LI Sophia M. 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7% -
113 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
114 GOLLNICK Mira 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
115 KAPUSTINA Arina 1% 17% 41% 32% 8% 1%
116 XU Audrey J. 12% 47% 32% 8% 1% -
117 LI Grace 51% 37% 11% 1% - -
118 SULTER Aurelie 84% 15% 1% - - - -
119 HAN Ashley 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
120 PENG Charlotte 2% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
121 VO Bao-Vy 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
122 SULLIVAN Emma 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
123 MUSTETI-OPREA Isabella 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
124 HOANG Anh 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
125 YIM Rachael 26% 44% 25% 5% - - -
126 NICKOLOV Nora 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
127 HOBSON Ava 4% 46% 37% 11% 1% - -
128 MEYER Lily I. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
129 KIM April 3% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
129 SANTANGELO Aurora 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
131 LEE Brielle 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
132 MANN Sophia J. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
133 WANG Celine S. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
134 SUN Emily 1% 12% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
135 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
136 CHOW Annabelle 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
136 TSANG Catherine 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
138 ZHANG Zoe 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
139 BEAVER Hannah 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
140 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 50% 38% 10% 1% - -
141 SKOURLETOS Maria 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
142 BOLES Amanda X. 2% 11% 29% 34% 18% 5% -
143 LEVY Avery 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
144 THOMAS Saejel 40% 47% 11% 1% - - -
145 ALEXANDER Amelia 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
146 NAIR Supriya 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
147 ZHENG Zoe 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
148 KIES Daniela 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
149 JONES Jenna 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
150 ZHOU Sophia 16% 42% 34% 7% 1% - -
151 GUHA Maya 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
152 SHUM Maya 5% 27% 40% 22% 5% -
153 CHIRASHNYA Mika 1% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
154 ZHU Julia 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
155 DUONG Zoey 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
155 HO Kristen 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
157 MASON-DARNELL Zoe 78% 20% 2% - - -
158 CHOI Kailyn 34% 50% 15% 2% - - -
158 PARK Alexandria 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
160 MAENG Victoria 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
160 DATLA Meha 78% 21% 1% - - - -
160 ZHU Elise 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
163 BOWEN Teresa 50% 37% 11% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.