USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, July 6, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 25%
2 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
3 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
5 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
6 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
7 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
8 LAMBERT Mahala 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
9 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
9 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
11 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
12 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
13 PANT Anisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
14 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
15 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 15%
16 FU Qihan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
17 HAMZA Malak 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
18 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
18 SU Alena J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
20 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
21 TANG AI JIA 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
22 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
23 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
24 AHMED Hannah 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
25 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
26 LEE Bethanie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
27 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
28 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
29 PENG Amber L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
30 SU Michelle 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
31 KULKARNI Sohah A. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
32 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
33 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
34 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
35 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
36 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
37 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 3%
38 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 3%
39 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
40 WONG Sophia M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
41 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 3%
42 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
43 CANNON Lira J. 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
44 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
45 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
46 ROY Layla 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
46 KOKES Gwendolen 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
48 CUI Amy 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1%
49 GU EMILY 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
50 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
51 SHA Yi Ling 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 10% 1%
52 UPTON Sydney 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
53 WANG Zoie Z. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 5%
54 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 6% -
55 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
56 LIN Victoria T. 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2%
57 YEN Natalie 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
58 NOVIKOV Allegra 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
59 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
60 AYUPOVA AMELIYA 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
61 UMAP Arna 100% 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
62 WU Celine 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
63 RAO Sonia D. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
64 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1%
65 HOANG Mai 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
66 FURST Chloe 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
67 MI Aileen 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
68 ZHANG Eunice 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 5% -
69 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
70 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13%
71 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
72 LEE Samantha X. 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
73 TOM Caitlyn 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
74 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 4%
75 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
76 KOSLOW Amicie 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 5%
77 ZULUETA Catherine 100% 99% 81% 39% 8% 1%
78 WEI Vika 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 8% 1%
79 WANG Jasmine 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
80 LEE Allison 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
81 TUCKER ALARCON Frida 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 4% -
82 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
82 LEE Fiona E. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% -
84 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
85 COOPER Piper W. 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
86 LAI Evelyn 100% 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% -
87 ZHENG Julie 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
88 LIU Zhaoyi 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
89 GAO Anna 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
90 GONG Chloe 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
91 ZHUANG Sophie 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
92 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
93 WELBORN Calissa 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
94 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
95 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 98% 72% 29% 5% -
96 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
97 SHINKAREV Olga 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
98 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9%
99 BEAVER Kaitlyn 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
100 KIM Rachel 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
101 LI Irina 100% 92% 44% 10% 1% - -
102 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
103 BAWA Sahana 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
104 WILLIS Fletcher L. 100% 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
105 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
106 OLSHANSKY Eliora S. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
107 LUO Sandra J. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
108 BHARATHI Maithreyi S. 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
109 GAMRADT Taylor 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
110 POPOKH Aleksandra 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
111 OTEYZA Camille 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
112 LI Sophia M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% -
113 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 84% 44% 14% 2% - -
114 GOLLNICK Mira 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
115 KAPUSTINA Arina 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% 1%
116 XU Audrey J. 100% 88% 41% 9% 1% -
117 LI Grace 100% 49% 12% 2% - -
118 SULTER Aurelie 100% 16% 1% - - - -
119 HAN Ashley 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
120 PENG Charlotte 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
121 VO Bao-Vy 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
122 SULLIVAN Emma 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
123 MUSTETI-OPREA Isabella 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
124 HOANG Anh 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
125 YIM Rachael 100% 74% 30% 5% - - -
126 NICKOLOV Nora 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
127 HOBSON Ava 100% 96% 50% 13% 1% - -
128 MEYER Lily I. 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
129 KIM April 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
129 SANTANGELO Aurora 100% 63% 23% 5% - - -
131 LEE Brielle 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
132 MANN Sophia J. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
133 WANG Celine S. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
134 SUN Emily 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
135 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
136 CHOW Annabelle 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
136 TSANG Catherine 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
138 ZHANG Zoe 100% 88% 52% 16% 3% - -
139 BEAVER Hannah 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
140 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
141 SKOURLETOS Maria 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
142 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
143 LEVY Avery 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
144 THOMAS Saejel 100% 60% 12% 1% - - -
145 ALEXANDER Amelia 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
146 NAIR Supriya 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
147 ZHENG Zoe 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
148 KIES Daniela 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
149 JONES Jenna 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
150 ZHOU Sophia 100% 84% 42% 8% 1% - -
151 GUHA Maya 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
152 SHUM Maya 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% -
153 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
154 ZHU Julia 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
155 DUONG Zoey 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
155 HO Kristen 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
157 MASON-DARNELL Zoe 100% 22% 2% - - -
158 CHOI Kailyn 100% 66% 17% 2% - - -
158 PARK Alexandria 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
160 MAENG Victoria 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
160 DATLA Meha 100% 22% 2% - - - -
160 ZHU Elise 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
163 BOWEN Teresa 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.