Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 52%
2 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
3 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
3 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
5 REID Anousheh 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
6 REID Sobia 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
7 GU Sarah 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
8 CHO Claire E. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
9 JIN Jasmine 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
10 LEE Michelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
11 OGAWA Kaylin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
12 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 18%
13 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
14 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
15 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
16 DESAI Meera P. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
17 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
18 BENKLER Riley M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
19 TOLBA Salma 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
20 KOKES Ava 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
21 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
23 GAO Judy 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
24 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
25 LU Samantha R. 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
26 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
27 BLIN Margaux J. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
28 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
29 LONG Madeline M. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1% -
30 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
31 LEE Yedda 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
32 YU Bailey 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
33 MING Cynthia 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
34 KONG Carina 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
35 RICHARDSON Lauren C. 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
36 HU Chelsea 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% - -
36 FLO Sena 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
38 DREFKE Sigrid 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
39 TAYLOR Kiera S. 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
40 KIM Angelina 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
41 MACEDON Gianna 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
42 LIU Nicole 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.