USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, July 6, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
2 WILSON Jude - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
3 BERRIO Carter E. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 MORRILL William - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
5 CHON Taylor A. - 1% 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
6 JEFFRY Nicholas B. - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
7 HUANG Ethan F. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
8 CHAN Matthew - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
9 LUO George F. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
10 AVAKIAN Alec - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
11 HJERPE Wade H. - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 6%
12 SIMAK Joseph P. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
13 KAKEHI Nicholas B. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
14 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
15 HOLZ William A. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
16 MEHTA Krish - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
17 KIM Alexander M. - - - - 3% 24% 72%
17 EICHHORN Lukas H. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
17 ZUBATIY Samuel - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
20 YUN Jaesun - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
21 LUTHRA Arjun - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
22 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
23 LEE Christopher M. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
24 FENG Leo - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
25 WANG Eric Y. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
26 WOODWARD Connor - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
27 LEE Justin - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
28 ERMAKOV Lev - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
29 PANDEY Neil 3% 23% 38% 26% 9% 1% -
30 GAO Albert - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 14%
31 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 1%
32 DENG Andrew - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
33 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
34 BAE Jason I. - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
35 YUN Jake - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
35 KIM Shaun M. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
37 LEE Aydan J. - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
38 KOGAN Benjamin - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
38 PATIL Aaryan A. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
40 JIANG Anthony - - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
41 GILSON Lucas B. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 6%
42 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
42 XU Andrew - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
44 ETIN Ari - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
45 HONG Steven 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
46 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12%
47 GIANETTO Ethan K. - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
48 CANNON Logan T. 1% 9% 30% 39% 17% 3% -
49 MCCARTHY Gabriel 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
50 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
51 TASIKAS Stylianos - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
52 ZHENG Edward L. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 2%
53 QIU Nathan - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
54 WANG Nicolas 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
55 CHAN Aidan 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
56 DALAL Rohan 35% 42% 19% 4% < 1% - -
57 TURCK Caspar J. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
58 ZENG Noah 3% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
59 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3% -
60 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
61 BUCHMANN Finn D. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
62 THORNHILL Kwasi - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
63 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 3% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
64 HAN Edward 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
65 STURN Oliver - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
66 HU Christopher - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
67 LIN Daniel - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
68 LEE Aidan S. 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
69 KLEIMAN Jakob - 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
70 SHOMAN Zachary - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
71 MALONE Gregory D. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2%
72 HOLZ Daniel - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
73 PENG Bryan 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
74 BERA Enzo - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
75 BOUKHTIN Maxim 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
76 CLARK Gabriel - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
77 CHICA - HERRERA Brian 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
78 ZHANG William 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
79 MACHADO Brody A. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
80 CHEEMA Hyder - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
80 HUANG Alexander C. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
82 OH Triton - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
83 CHOI Silas - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
84 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
85 ZHANG Derek 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
86 LEUNG cameron - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
87 JEFFRY Christian B. - 3% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
88 SHOMAN Noah - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
89 LO Konnor - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
89 VOSS Jeffer 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
91 SHIPITSIN Alexander - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
92 LIU Christopher X. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
93 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH - 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
94 WEBER Mattias A. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
94 TAO Jeffrey - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
96 HUANG Maxwell H. - 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1%
97 CRAIG Samuel - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
98 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 2% 13% 39% 36% 10%
99 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - 2% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
100 SKIMEL Michael 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
101 YU Thomas 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
102 SAVOY Luca 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
103 KUSHKOV Daniel - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
104 RICHARDS Jackson D. 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
105 DUCKETT Myles - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
106 SHTEIN Yan 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
107 WANG Robert - 8% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
108 FIELDS Matthew S. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
109 SMINK Oliver 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
110 LEE Derek J. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
111 HUANG Connor - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
112 HIREMATH Kushal 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
113 CHENG Cody 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
114 TRAN Tripp L. 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
115 SULLIVAN Aidan J. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
116 NIETO Titus P. 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
116 SIDDIQUI Shayan 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
118 SU Landon - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
119 RAMANAN Govind 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
120 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
121 HUNG Samuel - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
122 CHEN Lohen - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
123 WU Richard 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
124 BONETTI Brayden - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
124 DOWNEY Baran 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
126 RASMUSSEN Oliver 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
127 GUO Ethan 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
128 KILGALLEN William 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
129 BROU Inkosi 1% 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% -
130 CHEN Jia Tao 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
130 STONE Esmond A. - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
132 PILAT Matthew J. 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
133 SIMMONS John M. - 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
134 GAO Andrew 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
135 SHINCHUK Daniel 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
136 WASSERMAN Aiden 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
137 LIN Philip T. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
138 ARROYO Santiago 3% 26% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
139 LEWALLEN Reece 5% 31% 41% 19% 4% - -
140 KOCHENSPARGER III Robert L. 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
141 MORALES Jonathan 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
141 OSENAR Sam 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
143 LEMPERT Adam 10% 34% 35% 17% 4% - -
144 FELDMAN Drew 18% 46% 29% 6% 1% - -
145 LARRAZOLO Vincent 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
146 AKS Ari 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
147 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
148 LAU Justin Y. 8% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
149 ZHANG Ethan W. 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
150 GAUVEY Kieran 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
151 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
152 MAY Griffin M. 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
153 HU-VAN REETH Alexander 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
154 PERRON Robert 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
155 BULLARD Nicholas Y. 10% 38% 38% 13% 2% - -
156 KERCHER Alexander 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
157 PI Alexander 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
158 CARTAGENA Caden A. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
159 ZHOU James Y. 5% 29% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
160 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
161 QI Eric K. 7% 31% 42% 17% 3% - -
161 KIM Maxwell J. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
163 LIU Mingyang Ryan 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
164 KAUFMAN Wyatt J. 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
166 LINDSEY Aiden 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
167 BOULAIS Andrew D. 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
167 HUANG Alex F. - 1% 10% 29% 39% 20% 2%
169 CHTERENTAL Alex - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
170 SUGIURA Samuel 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
171 NORBORG Domingo 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
171 PENG Victor 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
173 GAINES Isaac M. 2% 32% 41% 20% 4% - -
174 GERSTMANN Max T. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
174 JOO Jeein 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
176 GUREVICH Savely 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
177 FIRSTMAN William B. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
177 ANDRES Michael - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
179 BRADFORD Tucker 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
181 KIM Benjamin 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
181 KALPATHY Rohit 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
183 CHOW William T. 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
184 TANNER Jackson M. 17% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
185 YAN William 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
186 CAMPO Alexander P. 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
186 MCGUIRE Christian < 1% 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
188 MURDOCH ROY Charlie 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
188 HENDERSON Jack 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
188 CHENG Hong 72% 25% 3% - - - -
191 PREUD'HOMME Guillaume 83% 16% 1% - - - -
191 PARADIS Emmit 66% 29% 4% - - - -
191 LIN Hadrian 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
194 CHANG Yuyang 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
195 SUSTAR Mir 91% 9% - - - - -
196 LAGASSE Jack T. 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.