USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, July 6, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
3 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
5 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 12%
6 JEFFRY Nicholas B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
7 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
8 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
9 LUO George F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
10 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
11 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
12 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
13 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
14 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
15 HOLZ William A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
16 MEHTA Krish 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
17 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
17 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
17 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
20 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
21 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
22 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
23 LEE Christopher M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
24 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
25 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
26 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
27 LEE Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
28 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
29 PANDEY Neil 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
30 GAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 14%
31 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 1%
32 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
33 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
34 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
35 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
35 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
37 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
38 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
38 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
40 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 25%
41 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
42 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
42 XU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
44 ETIN Ari 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
45 HONG Steven 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
46 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
47 GIANETTO Ethan K. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
48 CANNON Logan T. 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 3% -
49 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
50 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
51 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
52 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
53 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 13%
54 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 11% 1%
55 CHAN Aidan 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
56 DALAL Rohan 100% 65% 23% 4% < 1% - -
57 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
58 ZENG Noah 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
59 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
60 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
61 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9%
62 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
63 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 97% 74% 35% 10% 1% -
64 HAN Edward 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
65 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
66 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
67 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
68 LEE Aidan S. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
69 KLEIMAN Jakob 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3%
70 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
71 MALONE Gregory D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
72 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
73 PENG Bryan 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
74 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
75 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
76 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
77 CHICA - HERRERA Brian 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
78 ZHANG William 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
79 MACHADO Brody A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
80 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
80 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11% 1%
82 OH Triton 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
83 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
84 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
85 ZHANG Derek 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
86 LEUNG cameron 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
87 JEFFRY Christian B. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
88 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
89 LO Konnor 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
89 VOSS Jeffer 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
91 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
92 LIU Christopher X. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
93 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
94 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
94 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
96 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
97 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
98 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 10%
99 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
100 SKIMEL Michael 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
101 YU Thomas 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
102 SAVOY Luca 100% 97% 82% 49% 19% 4% -
103 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
104 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
105 DUCKETT Myles 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
106 SHTEIN Yan 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
107 WANG Robert 100% 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
108 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
109 SMINK Oliver 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
110 LEE Derek J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
111 HUANG Connor 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
112 HIREMATH Kushal 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
113 CHENG Cody 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
114 TRAN Tripp L. 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
115 SULLIVAN Aidan J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
116 NIETO Titus P. 100% 89% 53% 19% 4% - -
116 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
118 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
119 RAMANAN Govind 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
120 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
121 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
122 CHEN Lohen 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
123 WU Richard 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
124 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
124 DOWNEY Baran 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
126 RASMUSSEN Oliver 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
127 GUO Ethan 100% 94% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
128 KILGALLEN William 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
129 BROU Inkosi 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
130 CHEN Jia Tao 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
130 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5%
132 PILAT Matthew J. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
133 SIMMONS John M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
134 GAO Andrew 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
135 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
136 WASSERMAN Aiden 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
137 LIN Philip T. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
138 ARROYO Santiago 100% 97% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
139 LEWALLEN Reece 100% 95% 64% 23% 4% - -
140 KOCHENSPARGER III Robert L. 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
141 MORALES Jonathan 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
141 OSENAR Sam 100% 86% 50% 15% 2% - -
143 LEMPERT Adam 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
144 FELDMAN Drew 100% 82% 36% 7% 1% - -
145 LARRAZOLO Vincent 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
146 AKS Ari 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
147 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
148 LAU Justin Y. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
149 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
150 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
151 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
152 MAY Griffin M. 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
153 HU-VAN REETH Alexander 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
154 PERRON Robert 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
155 BULLARD Nicholas Y. 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% - -
156 KERCHER Alexander 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
157 PI Alexander 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
158 CARTAGENA Caden A. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
159 ZHOU James Y. 100% 95% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
160 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
161 QI Eric K. 100% 93% 63% 21% 3% - -
161 KIM Maxwell J. 100% 98% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
163 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
164 KAUFMAN Wyatt J. 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
166 LINDSEY Aiden 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
167 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
167 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
169 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
170 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
171 NORBORG Domingo 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
171 PENG Victor 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
173 GAINES Isaac M. 100% 98% 66% 25% 5% - -
174 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
174 JOO Jeein 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
176 GUREVICH Savely 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
177 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% - -
177 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
179 BRADFORD Tucker 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
181 KIM Benjamin 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
181 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
183 CHOW William T. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
184 TANNER Jackson M. 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
185 YAN William 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
186 CAMPO Alexander P. 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
186 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
188 MURDOCH ROY Charlie 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
188 HENDERSON Jack 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
188 CHENG Hong 100% 28% 3% - - - -
191 PREUD'HOMME Guillaume 100% 17% 1% - - - -
191 PARADIS Emmit 100% 34% 5% - - - -
191 LIN Hadrian 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
194 CHANG Yuyang 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
195 SUSTAR Mir 100% 9% - - - - -
196 LAGASSE Jack T. 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.