USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, July 7, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIGGERS Susan Q. - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
2 SHEARER Natalie E. - - 4% 17% 37% 32% 10%
3 KER Grace - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 8%
3 KRASTEV Minna - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
5 ALCEBAR Kayla - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
6 ROMAGNOLI Isabella - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
7 CHIN Sophia J. - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
8 YANG Ashley M. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
9 DUBOIS Lauren N. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
9 SHOMAN Jenna - - - - 2% 22% 76%
11 MIKA Veronica - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
12 BALAKUMARAN Maya - 1% 7% 26% 40% 24% 2%
13 NATHANSON Samantha E. - 1% 7% 30% 44% 20%
14 MAREK SOFIA - - 3% 21% 50% 27%
15 SOURIMTO Valeria - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
16 YEN Natalie 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
17 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - - - 3% 23% 74%
18 LI Amanda C. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
19 HUNG Anna - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
20 ENGELMAN Madeline A. - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
21 VADASZ Ibla P. - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
22 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
23 KONG Carys H. - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
24 DUCKETT Madison - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
25 PAUL Lila - - 5% 27% 44% 23%
26 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
27 OBRADOVIC Ana - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
28 HILD Nisha - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
29 HWANG Gabriela M. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
30 MANSPERGER Leena - - 4% 17% 38% 36% 5%
31 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
32 LIGH Erenei J. - 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
33 GHAYALOD reya - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
34 ERIKSON Kira R. - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
35 SHI Cathleen - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 4%
36 LEE Sophia - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
37 WANG Zidan 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
38 YANG Angelina - 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
39 FANG Victoria W. - 1% 10% 36% 40% 14%
40 ADEBANKE Niara 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
41 LU Elaine - 6% 28% 44% 19% 2%
42 KIM Marley I. - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
43 WHALEN Paige C. - 5% 20% 37% 28% 8% -
44 ANTHONY Alexia B. - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
45 ANDRES Charmaine G. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
46 FERREIRA Alejandra E. - - 2% 15% 39% 34% 9%
47 PASHIN Anna - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
48 XU Emily T. 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
48 YUAN Greta - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
50 TSE Angelina - - 2% 15% 45% 37%
51 PROCACCINI Ashten V. - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
52 LEE Hannah 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
53 GOMES Diana C. 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 3% -
54 LUKER Sophia 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% - -
55 HE Lizbeth - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
56 BOLTON Eleksi M. 1% 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
57 GRAFF Sophie - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
58 JOHNSON Dagny L. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
59 WEI Vivian W. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
59 JAVERI Amaya 3% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
61 BURCH Keona Y. 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
62 FALL-LAKATOS Jane 5% 27% 43% 21% 3% -
63 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 4% 25% 45% 22% 4% -
64 GUTHIKONDA Sunanya 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
65 HELLER Mikenna E. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
66 NG Sarah W. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
67 ELNATAN Mica A. 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
68 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
69 HUANG Caroline 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
70 SHINCHUK Ellisha 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
71 TABANGAY Heartlyn - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
72 JOHNSON Lydia 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
73 JUNG Irene 17% 45% 30% 7% 1% -
74 ZHAO Emily W. 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
75 HENRY Soraya S. 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% - -
76 SO Catelyn - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 12%
77 YOUNG Charlotte G. - 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
78 YOUNG Audrey - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
79 MESSICK Maya 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
80 OGANEZOVA Valerie 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
81 TSOI Julie 10% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
82 DENG Brooke 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
83 FAN Grace 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
84 YAN Lena 15% 42% 31% 10% 2% - -
85 DIECK Miranda P. 4% 28% 40% 22% 5% 1% -
86 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 13% 44% 33% 9% 1% -
87 LIN Lauren 41% 44% 14% 2% - -
88 EVANS Madelynn 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
89 YANG Lea 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
90 NAYAK Indra 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
91 REGANTI Sitara 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
92 NAYAK Anika 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
93 WILMORE Claire 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
94 PYO Penelope E. 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
94 FLETCHER Belen 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
96 KATILA-MIIKKULAINEN Alli 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% - -
97 SCOTT Eve 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
98 MONTORIO Lily M. 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
98 LIN Sophia 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
100 WUNNAVA Elina 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2% -
101 LIU Sydney 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
102 CHAN Jolene 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
103 BARRIE Sadie Q. 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
104 BARNOVITZ Maya 21% 50% 25% 4% - -
105 YAM Danika 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
105 NAYAK Esha 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
107 GRULICH Rayaana 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
107 COLBY Mercer 34% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
109 CARRASCO Elle 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
109 LITTLE Avery 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
109 TREACY Aisling 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
112 JEONG Katie < 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
113 WANG Olivia 3% 27% 43% 23% 5% - -
114 DWYER Ciara E. 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
115 BUHAY Kirsten M. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
116 BROOKS Chloe 25% 44% 25% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.