USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, July 7, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
2 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
3 KER Grace 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
3 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
5 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
6 ROMAGNOLI Isabella 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
7 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
8 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
9 DUBOIS Lauren N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
9 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
11 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
12 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 2%
13 NATHANSON Samantha E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 20%
14 MAREK SOFIA 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 27%
15 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
16 YEN Natalie 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
17 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
18 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
19 HUNG Anna 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
20 ENGELMAN Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
21 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
22 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
23 KONG Carys H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
24 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
25 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
26 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
27 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
28 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
29 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
30 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 5%
31 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
32 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
33 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
34 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
35 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
36 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
37 WANG Zidan 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
38 YANG Angelina 100% 100% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
39 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 14%
40 ADEBANKE Niara 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
41 LU Elaine 100% 100% 93% 65% 21% 2%
42 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
43 WHALEN Paige C. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
44 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
45 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
46 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 9%
47 PASHIN Anna 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
48 XU Emily T. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
48 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
50 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
51 PROCACCINI Ashten V. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
52 LEE Hannah 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
53 GOMES Diana C. 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 3% -
54 LUKER Sophia 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
55 HE Lizbeth 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
56 BOLTON Eleksi M. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 6% -
57 GRAFF Sophie 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
58 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
59 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
59 JAVERI Amaya 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
61 BURCH Keona Y. 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
62 FALL-LAKATOS Jane 100% 95% 68% 25% 4% -
63 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 96% 71% 26% 4% -
64 GUTHIKONDA Sunanya 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
65 HELLER Mikenna E. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
66 NG Sarah W. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
67 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
68 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
69 HUANG Caroline 100% 99% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
70 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
71 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
72 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
73 JUNG Irene 100% 83% 38% 7% 1% -
74 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
75 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
76 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
77 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
78 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
79 MESSICK Maya 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
80 OGANEZOVA Valerie 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
81 TSOI Julie 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
82 DENG Brooke 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
83 FAN Grace 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
84 YAN Lena 100% 85% 43% 12% 2% - -
85 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
86 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 87% 43% 10% 1% -
87 LIN Lauren 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
88 EVANS Madelynn 100% 94% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
89 YANG Lea 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
90 NAYAK Indra 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
91 REGANTI Sitara 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
92 NAYAK Anika 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
93 WILMORE Claire 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
94 PYO Penelope E. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
94 FLETCHER Belen 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
96 KATILA-MIIKKULAINEN Alli 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% - -
97 SCOTT Eve 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
98 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 83% 41% 11% 2% - -
98 LIN Sophia 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
100 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
101 LIU Sydney 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
102 CHAN Jolene 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
103 BARRIE Sadie Q. 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
104 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 79% 29% 4% - -
105 YAM Danika 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
105 NAYAK Esha 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
107 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
107 COLBY Mercer 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
109 CARRASCO Elle 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
109 LITTLE Avery 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
109 TREACY Aisling 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
112 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
113 WANG Olivia 100% 97% 71% 28% 5% - -
114 DWYER Ciara E. 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
115 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
116 BROOKS Chloe 100% 75% 31% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.