USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, July 7, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLZ Daniel - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
2 DUCKETT Myles - - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
3 BERA Enzo - - 1% 12% 44% 42%
5 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 7% 35% 58%
6 HU Christopher - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 19%
7 SU Landon - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
8 ANAND Rohan - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
9 SHIPITSIN Alexander - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
10 LEE Noah - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 5%
11 CHEN Jonathan - - 1% 6% 29% 50% 15%
12 CLARK Gabriel - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
13 OSENAR Sam 16% 45% 31% 8% 1% -
14 SHINCHUK Daniel - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
15 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 17%
16 ERMAKOV Semeon - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
17 TAO Jeffrey - - - 2% 15% 51% 32%
18 HUANG Alex F. - - 4% 22% 49% 25%
19 ALLARDYCE Lachlan - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
20 JOO Jeein - 5% 20% 36% 30% 8% 1%
21 YERRAMILLI Tejas 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
22 SHANKWILER Christopher - 1% 6% 20% 37% 30% 7%
23 KERCHER Alexander - 3% 15% 36% 35% 12%
24 KALPATHY Rohit 24% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
25 COLLAS Raphael - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
26 PI Alexander 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
27 YANG Dylan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
28 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 1% 7% 36% 56%
29 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - 1% 11% 34% 39% 13% 1%
29 SIDDIQUI Shayan 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 1%
31 GRIGORESCU Alexander - - - 3% 18% 45% 33%
32 ANDRES Michael - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
33 HILL Spencer 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
34 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
35 MEDVINSKY Daniel - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
36 CHEN Lohen 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
36 RAMANAN Govind - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
38 TSAO Oliver - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
39 SUGIURA Samuel - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
40 HRISTOV Kris - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
41 CHOW William T. - 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
42 PATEL Rayn 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
43 LIN Philip T. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
44 KONG Alan - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
45 KUSHNIR Zack 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
46 SAKMANN Sebastian 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
47 YAN William - 3% 22% 45% 27% 3%
48 TRAN Dash - 1% 12% 40% 40% 7%
49 ROZMUS Marek 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
50 BONETTI Brayden - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9%
51 GONG Jerry 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
52 JIANG Jeremy 2% 10% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
53 ANAND Rishab 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
54 VAID Luke 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3% -
55 GERSTMANN Max T. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
56 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
57 KLETTER Max 1% 12% 42% 35% 10% 1%
58 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
59 NARDINI Nathanael P. - 3% 14% 29% 33% 18% 3%
60 SKIMEL Michael 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
60 PRIMUS Nazir - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
62 CHANG Yuyang 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
63 ALAVE Kyle - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
64 EYBELMAN Ariel 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
65 HOLZ Lucas - 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
66 OH Aster - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
67 WANG Max 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
68 KIM Samuel 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
68 NAYAK Surin K. 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
70 DANIEL Andrew - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
71 GUYDOUK Alexey 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
72 GUREVICH Benjamin 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
73 IDRISSI Idris - 3% 14% 34% 35% 14%
74 SHU Tony 1% 12% 37% 37% 12% 1%
75 TONG Ryan 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
76 ALLARDYCE Graham 3% 19% 41% 31% 7% -
77 KURILO Michael 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
78 CLARK Caleb 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
79 SMITH Christopher 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
80 GUAN Dennis 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
81 BRANDT Jaden 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
82 CHAN Henry 43% 40% 14% 3% - - -
83 LIU Aaron 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
84 KIM Ethan 1% 14% 39% 34% 11% 1%
85 JORGESON Charlie 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
86 XU Ivan 49% 45% 6% - - -
87 BESSELMAN Noah 49% 41% 9% 1% - -
88 CIACCIA Luca 27% 49% 21% 3% - -
89 HUNG Samuel - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
90 WANG Zhuoyi 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
91 BOHRER Ari 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% - -
92 HAPP Braeden 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
93 LIU Vince 6% 21% 33% 26% 12% 3% -
94 SAMMI Mukul 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
95 LEE Andrew 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
96 LEE Thomas 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
97 PARKILA Lukas 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
98 HALL Noah 2% 17% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
99 URSU Marcel T. 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
100 WITCZAK Mateus 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
101 HO Anson 25% 48% 23% 4% - -
102 ZHAO Zihan 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
103 SMITH Jacob 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
105 JUNG Ethan 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
106 CHYCZEWSKI Maximilian 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
108 LOO Jason 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.