USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, July 7, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 DUCKETT Myles 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
3 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
5 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
6 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
7 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
8 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
9 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
10 LEE Noah 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
11 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 65% 15%
12 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
13 OSENAR Sam 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% -
14 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
15 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
16 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
17 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 32%
18 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 25%
19 ALLARDYCE Lachlan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
20 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
21 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
22 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
23 KERCHER Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
24 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
25 COLLAS Raphael 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
26 PI Alexander 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
27 YANG Dylan 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
28 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
29 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15% 1%
29 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
31 GRIGORESCU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
32 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
33 HILL Spencer 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
34 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
35 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
36 CHEN Lohen 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
36 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
38 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
39 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
40 HRISTOV Kris 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
41 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
42 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
43 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
44 KONG Alan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
45 KUSHNIR Zack 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
46 SAKMANN Sebastian 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
47 YAN William 100% 100% 97% 76% 30% 3%
48 TRAN Dash 100% 100% 99% 88% 47% 7%
49 ROZMUS Marek 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
50 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
51 GONG Jerry 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
52 JIANG Jeremy 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
53 ANAND Rishab 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
54 VAID Luke 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3% -
55 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 25% 5%
56 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
57 KLETTER Max 100% 99% 88% 46% 11% 1%
58 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
59 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
60 SKIMEL Michael 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
60 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 18% 3%
62 CHANG Yuyang 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
63 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
64 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
65 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
66 OH Aster 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
67 WANG Max 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
68 KIM Samuel 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
68 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
70 DANIEL Andrew 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
71 GUYDOUK Alexey 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
72 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
73 IDRISSI Idris 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
74 SHU Tony 100% 99% 87% 50% 13% 1%
75 TONG Ryan 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
76 ALLARDYCE Graham 100% 97% 79% 38% 7% -
77 KURILO Michael 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
78 CLARK Caleb 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
79 SMITH Christopher 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
80 GUAN Dennis 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
81 BRANDT Jaden 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
82 CHAN Henry 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
83 LIU Aaron 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
84 KIM Ethan 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
85 JORGESON Charlie 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
86 XU Ivan 100% 51% 6% - - -
87 BESSELMAN Noah 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
88 CIACCIA Luca 100% 73% 24% 3% - -
89 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
90 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
91 BOHRER Ari 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
92 HAPP Braeden 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
93 LIU Vince 100% 94% 73% 41% 14% 3% -
94 SAMMI Mukul 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
95 LEE Andrew 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
96 LEE Thomas 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
97 PARKILA Lukas 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
98 HALL Noah 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
99 URSU Marcel T. 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
100 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
101 HO Anson 100% 75% 27% 4% - -
102 ZHAO Zihan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
103 SMITH Jacob 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
105 JUNG Ethan 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
106 CHYCZEWSKI Maximilian 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
108 LOO Jason 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.