Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Hyunseok - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
2 DENNER Lysander H. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
3 JOHNSON Langston C. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
3 WIND Nicky E. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
5 SAKHAMURI Surya - - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
6 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
7 SHI Andrew - - 1% 8% 41% 44% 7%
8 HAMMERSTROM Jared 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
9 JOHNSTON Bennett S. - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
10 GINIS Nathan - - 4% 26% 45% 24%
11 MORRILL William - 5% 22% 41% 29% 4%
12 JARAMILLO Tobias L. - 2% 9% 24% 36% 25% 5%
13 MORRILL Justin - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
14 MOOREHEAD Patrick 13% 41% 36% 9% 1% -
15 YANG Richard 9% 40% 38% 12% 1% - -
16 HUANG Ethan F. 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
17 MATSUI Alen - - 2% 15% 40% 36% 7%
18 DENNER Maximilian P. - 1% 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
19 ZHOU Kevin - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
20 KIM Jeremy Y. - 2% 22% 49% 25% 3%
21 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
22 KIM Shaun M. - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
23 FENG Leo 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
24 CHAN Matthew - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
25 CHON Taylor A. 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
26 WILSON Jude - - - 2% 13% 45% 40%
27 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 2% 12% 34% 41% 10%
28 SIMAK Joseph P. 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
29 ZHANG Jeffrey 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
30 SHOMAN Noah 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
31 LU Caleb Q. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
32 COX Luis E. 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
33 FLOT Tai A. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 5%
34 CHIN Matthew W. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
35 OWENS Harrison J. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
36 HUANG Alexander C. - - 5% 27% 45% 22%
37 GILSON Lucas B. - 2% 14% 38% 35% 11%
38 MADDALONE Thomas 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% -
39 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
40 WANG Robert 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 1% -
41 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
42 LEE Justin 13% 43% 33% 9% 1% -
43 TURCK Caspar J. 1% 12% 42% 35% 10% 1%
44 CHAVES Matthew J. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
45 SHOMAN Zachary - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
45 ZHENG Edward L. 3% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
47 WANG Andrew 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
48 BLECKNER Noah 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
49 GALLAGHER Brett 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
50 FORT David 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
51 WOODWARD Connor 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 2% -
52 MCCARTHY Gabriel 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
54 LEE Derek J. 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
55 HOLDEN Joseph 8% 33% 41% 16% 2% - -
56 MALONE Gregory D. 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
57 MIDLA Joshua D. 18% 47% 30% 5% - -
58 LEE Aydan J. 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
59 CARTAGENA Caden A. 27% 46% 23% 4% - -
60 YEE Evan J. 32% 44% 19% 4% - - -
61 LARRAZOLO Vincent 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.