Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 6, 2018 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Hyunseok 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
2 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
3 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
3 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
5 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
6 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
7 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 51% 7%
8 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
9 JOHNSTON Bennett S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
10 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
11 MORRILL William 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 4%
12 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 5%
13 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
14 MOOREHEAD Patrick 100% 87% 46% 10% 1% -
15 YANG Richard 100% 91% 51% 13% 1% - -
16 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
17 MATSUI Alen 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 7%
18 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 8%
19 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
20 KIM Jeremy Y. 100% 100% 98% 76% 28% 3%
21 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
22 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
23 FENG Leo 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
24 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
25 CHON Taylor A. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
26 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
27 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 10%
28 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
29 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
30 SHOMAN Noah 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
31 LU Caleb Q. 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
32 COX Luis E. 100% 57% 14% 2% - -
33 FLOT Tai A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
34 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
35 OWENS Harrison J. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
36 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
37 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 11%
38 MADDALONE Thomas 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
39 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
40 WANG Robert 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1% -
41 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
42 LEE Justin 100% 87% 44% 11% 1% -
43 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 99% 87% 45% 11% 1%
44 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
45 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
45 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
47 WANG Andrew 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
48 BLECKNER Noah 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
49 GALLAGHER Brett 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
50 FORT David 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
51 WOODWARD Connor 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 3% -
52 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
54 LEE Derek J. 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
55 HOLDEN Joseph 100% 92% 59% 18% 2% - -
56 MALONE Gregory D. 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
57 MIDLA Joshua D. 100% 82% 35% 5% - -
58 LEE Aydan J. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
59 CARTAGENA Caden A. 100% 73% 27% 4% - -
60 YEE Evan J. 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
61 LARRAZOLO Vincent 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.