Event Results
Fencing Center of Chicago RYC & RJCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HARRIS Parker | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 2 | HOROWITZ Shuli | V V V V V D | V V V V D | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| 3 | MA Sophia | V V D D V D | V V V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 3 | DHALIWAL Seerat | V V V V D V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 5 | MUMMANENI Samyuta | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 6 | SUN Nicole | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 7 | LIN Kenzie | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 8 | MATTUPALLI Ashwika | D V D D V | V V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 9 | HU Sophie | V V V V V V | V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 10 | FRASER Morgan | V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 11 | SWOPE Farren | V D V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 12 | SHUI Zola | D D V V V V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 13 | LEGGETT Emilia | D V V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 14 | KIM Yuna | D V D V D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 15 | ZEE Savannah | D V D V D D | V D | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| 16 | PARANJAPE Ojasvi | D D V D V D | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 17 | REDEMANN Reagan | V D V V V V | D | 2.3 | 5 | +2.7 |
| 18 | JIMÉNEZ PELAY Claudia | V D V V D V | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 19 | VO Evelyn | V D D V V D | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 20 | NAFSOU Ava | D V V D V D | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 21 | LIN Athena | D D D V V V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 22 | KU Amanda | V V D D D V | D | 0.8 | 3 | +2.2 |
| 23 | HEWITT Madison | V D V D D | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 24 | WANG Sophia | V V D D D D | D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 25 | MAEDA Hotsumi | V D D D V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 26 | LEE Katherine | D D V D D V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 27 | NEPAL Noukou Asha | V V D D D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 28 | XU Teresa | D V D D V D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 29 | MUN Claire | D D D D V D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 30 | UTIN Alexandra | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 31 | KUMAR Leela | D D D D D D | V D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 31 | BADER Mia | D D D D D D | V D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 33 | ASLAM Lyla | D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| 33 | ALJOHER Mia | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |