Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Monday, October 8, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
2 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 2%
3 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 20%
5 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 7%
6 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
7 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 99% 88% 49% 15% 2% -
8 YE Eileen 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 3%
9 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 9%
10 MICHAELSEN Emily 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
11 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
12 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
13 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
14 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
15 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
16 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
17 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
18 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
19 WONG Sophia M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
20 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
21 WEI Vika 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
22 LONG Madeline M. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
23 ABD-ELMONIEM Nusayba K. 100% 95% 59% 19% 3% - -
24 KONG Carina 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
25 RASO Olivia 100% 93% 65% 24% 3% -
26 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
27 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
28 NORTH Zoe M. 100% 97% 72% 28% 5% -
29 CHEN Lefu 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
30 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
31 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 95% 67% 24% 4% - -
32 FU Qihan 100% 97% 73% 29% 3% -
33 CHO Claire E. 100% 79% 33% 5% - - -
34 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
35 SULTANA-HOLE Olivia B. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
36 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 100% 90% 52% 13% 1%
37 SMITH Emilee E. 100% 37% 5% - - -
38 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
39 WANG Yudi 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
40 SCHATZ Erika J. 100% 81% 33% 5% - -
41 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
42 COOPER Piper W. 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% - -
43 GUAN Grace 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
44 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
45 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.