Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SIMAK Joseph P. | D V D V V V | V V V V V | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 2 | WILSON Jude | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 3 | WOODWARD Connor | V V V D V V | V V V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 3 | HUANG Ethan F. | V V V D V V | V V V D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| 5 | SHOMAN Zachary | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 6 | FENG Leo | V V V D V V | V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 7 | MORRILL William | D V V D V V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 8 | NAZLYMOV Andrei | D V V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 9 | ZHANG Jeffrey | V V V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 10 | MALONE Gregory D. | D V V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 11 | KIM Shaun M. | V V D V V V | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 12 | CHON Taylor A. | D V V D V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 13 | LEE Justin | D D V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 14 | TURCK Caspar J. | V D D V V D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 15 | ZHENG Edward L. | V D D D V V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 16 | SHOMAN Noah | V D V D V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 17 | CARTAGENA Caden A. | V V D V D V | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 18 | HUANG Alexander C. | V V V V D D | D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 19 | MCCARTHY Gabriel | D V V D D V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 20 | WANG Robert | V D V D D V | D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 21 | GAO Andrew | V D V V D D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 22 | SULLIVAN Aidan J. | D V D D V D | D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 23 | GILSON Lucas B. | V D D V D D | D | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| 24 | MAY Griffin M. | D V D D V D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 25 | KAYLAKOV Maxim | V D D V D D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 26 | GARDNER Sebastian | V D D V D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 27 | HU Christopher | V D D V D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 28 | SU Landon | D D V D D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 29 | LEE Aydan J. | D D D D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 30 | YEE Ethan C. | D D V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 31 | BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. | D D D D D D | V D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 32 | LARRAZOLO Vincent | D D D D D D | V D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 33 | HUANG Alex F. | D D D V D D | D | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| 34 | GAUVEY Kieran | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 35 | GUREVICH Savely | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.