Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, October 8, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIMAK Joseph P. 1% 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
2 WILSON Jude - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
3 WOODWARD Connor 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
3 HUANG Ethan F. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
5 SHOMAN Zachary - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
6 FENG Leo - 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5%
7 MORRILL William - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
8 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
9 ZHANG Jeffrey 2% 11% 26% 31% 21% 7% 1%
10 MALONE Gregory D. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
11 KIM Shaun M. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
12 CHON Taylor A. - 2% 17% 37% 32% 12% 1%
13 LEE Justin 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
14 TURCK Caspar J. - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
15 ZHENG Edward L. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
16 SHOMAN Noah 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
17 CARTAGENA Caden A. 6% 23% 35% 25% 10% 2% -
18 HUANG Alexander C. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
19 MCCARTHY Gabriel 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
20 WANG Robert - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
21 GAO Andrew - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
22 SULLIVAN Aidan J. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
23 GILSON Lucas B. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
24 MAY Griffin M. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
25 KAYLAKOV Maxim 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
26 GARDNER Sebastian 2% 10% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
27 HU Christopher 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
28 SU Landon 4% 17% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
29 LEE Aydan J. 40% 46% 12% 1% - - -
30 YEE Ethan C. 5% 21% 33% 26% 12% 3% -
31 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
32 LARRAZOLO Vincent 30% 50% 17% 3% - - -
33 HUANG Alex F. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
34 GAUVEY Kieran 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
35 GUREVICH Savely 28% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.