Event Results

Y-10 Men's Saber

The Cascade Clash SYCPool Heatmap

Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM Northwest Fencing Center · Tigard, OR, USA
16 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SEVERT David 100% 95% 49% 4% -
2 QIAO Jason 100% 98% 73% 31% 5%
3 JIAO Lawrence 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 PAN Wesley 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 8%
5 XIE Ryan 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
6 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 97% 76% 35% 6%
7 ZHOU RYAN 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
8 WOO Jonathan 100% 77% 34% 8% 1%
9 MA Garrison 100% 82% 40% 10% 1%
10 LEE Shion 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
11 CHEN Oliver 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
12 LI Austin 100% 33% 4% - -
13 ZOU Aaron 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
14 WANG Luke 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
15 LU Nathan Daniel 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
16 STEIPP Daniel 100% 100% 95% 65% 16%