Event Results

Senior Mixed Épée

2026 TCFC September ChallengesPool Heatmap

Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 2:30 PM Twin Cities Fencing Club · St. Paul, MN, USA
25 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 PREIDL Matthias 100% 100% 99% 85% 38%
2 SANFORD Wesley 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
3 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 100% 99% 85% 34%
3 LIMER Avi 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
5 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
6 YATES Graeme 100% 97% 76% 33% 4%
7 BISSEN Quinn 100% 98% 82% 47% 12%
8 BLAT Robert 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
9 CHO Joseph 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
9 LI Ziyue 100% 84% 41% 9% 1%
11 SHOEMAKER Oliver 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
11 STOLTZ Chase 100% 89% 55% 19% 3%
13 FRALEY Orion 100% 71% 29% 6% -
14 LEE Wilson 100% 89% 42% 8% -
15 DRAWZ Chase 100% 100% 97% 55% 8%
16 ELDRIDGE Hudson 100% 97% 78% 36% 4%
17 PHAM Thai-Long 100% 96% 74% 34% 7%
18 CLIPPARD Erik J. 100% 94% 66% 21% 1%
19 JOHN Elsa 100% 48% 8% - -
20 NOOR Hamdi 100% 66% 22% 3% -
21 KOKA Ashwin 100% 93% 64% 26% 4%
22 BENGTSON Jasmine 100% 85% 23% 2% -
23 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 91% 50% 4% -
24 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 62% 16% 1% -
25 FITZGERALD Thomas R. 100% 87% 50% 15% 1%