Event Results

Y-12 Men's Épée

Nashville Challenge RYC/RJCCSurprise Map

Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM MTSU Campus Recreation · Murfreesboro, TN, USA

33 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	TANG Daniel	V V V V V V	V V V V V	5.5	6	+0.5
2	PARK Roy	V V V V V V	V V V V D	4.4	6	+1.6
3	KIM Aiden	V V V V V	V V V D	4.1	5	+0.9
3	CHA Aiden	V D D V D	V V V D	3.2	2	-1.2
5	YOU Asher	V D V V V V	V V D	4.9	5	+0.1
6	VISSER Liam	V D V V V V	V V D	3.5	5	+1.5
7	FAYEZ Adam	V V V V V D	V V D	4.7	5	+0.3
8	PARK Ethan	V V V V D	V V D	3.8	4	+0.2
9	SUK Kwon	V V V V V	V D	2.9	5	+2.1
10	FERNANDEZ William	V V V D V D	V D	4.7	4	-0.7
11	KIM William	V D V V V D	V D	2.5	4	+1.5
12	DESAI Jairaj	D V V D V	V D	3.3	3	-0.3
13	FLINT Liam	D D V D V V	V D	2.3	3	+0.7
14	YOON Niel	V V D D D V	V D	4.0	3	-1.0
15	HOHMAN Elias	D V D D V	V D	1.6	2	+0.4
16	CHA Declan	D V D D D V	V D	3.4	2	-1.4
17	CHU Joe	V D V V V	D	2.7	4	+1.3
18	OH Alex	V V D V V D	D	3.2	4	+0.8
19	SHIM Jaeyoo	V V V D D	D	3.9	3	-0.9
20	KIM Kaiden	V D D V D V	D	2.1	3	+0.9
21	URRUTIA Fritz	D D V D V V	D	1.6	3	+1.4
22	PALADUGU Gagan	D V V D D V	D	2.3	3	+0.7
23	LEE Rohan	D D V D V D	D	3.0	2	-1.0
24	JIANG Adam	D D D V D V	D	3.7	2	-1.7
25	WANG Asher	D D D V V D	D	2.4	2	-0.4
26	XIA Andrew Chang	D D D V D	D	1.0	1	-
27	DAVIDENKO ILLYA	D D D D V	D	1.0	1	-
28	JOSHI Neil	D D V D D D	D	1.4	1	-0.4
29	CHEN Corey	D D D D D	D	0.9	0	-0.9
30	DOUGLAS James	D D D D D D	D	0.5	0	-0.5
31	CHAN Aiden	D D D D D	D	1.6	0	-1.6
32	DUBEY Neel	D D D D D D	V D	1.2	0	-1.2
33	ADAMS Elvis	D D D D D D	D	1.8	0	-1.8

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

Outcome Surprises