Event Results

Div I Elite Women's Épée

October NACSurprise Map

Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM Orange County Convention Center · Orlando, FL, USA
118 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 FALLON Kyle R. V V D V D V V V V V V V 4.6 4 -0.6
2 TOBY Natalia R. V V V V D D V V V V V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
3 XUAN Nicole J. V V V V V D V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
3 LIU Charlene (Kai) V V D V V D V V V V V D 5.2 4 -1.2
5 PROFIS Liora D V V V D V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
6 WATRALL Christina V V V V D D V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
7 YANG Alisa V D V V D V V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
8 LEE Scarlett D V V V D D V V V V D 4.4 3 -1.4
9 MACHULSKY Leehi V V V V V V V V D 5.5 6 +0.5
10 YOUNG VIVIAN V V V V V V V V D 3.4 6 +2.6
11 XIAO Ruien D V V V V V V V D 5.6 5 -0.6
12 ELSTON Sophia V D V V V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
13 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. D V V V D V V V D 5.2 4 -1.2
14 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. D V V V V D V V D 5.4 4 -1.4
15 LV Michelle D V V V V D V V D 2.3 4 +1.7
16 ZIGALO Elizabeth V V V V D D V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
17 YIN Julia V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
18 KORFONTA Jolie V V D V V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
19 HUSISIAN Hadley N. V D V V V V V D 5.8 5 -0.8
20 MAI Mailan V V V D V V V D 2.2 5 +2.8
21 GAJJALA Sharika R. D V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
22 CHI Chelsea V D V D V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
23 ILYAS Ayah V V D V D V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
24 CAFASSO Natalya D V V V D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
25 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) D D V D V V V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
26 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) D V V D V D V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
27 BECKMAN Ana D D V V V D V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
28 HAUSHEER Kuncen D V V V D D V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
29 CAMPBELL Eva D V D V D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
30 BALAZS Luca V D D D V D V V D 1.1 2 +0.9
31 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. D V D D V D V V D 4.6 2 -2.6
32 AZMEH nour V D D D D V V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
33 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. V V V V V V D 5.8 6 +0.2
34 WITTER Catherine A. V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
35 HU Grace V V V D V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
36 LEE REGINA V V V V V D D 4.9 5 +0.1
37 SOBUS Yanka D V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
38 GU Sarah D V V V V V D 4.9 5 +0.1
39 HUREL Bertille V V D V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
40 LISCUM Vivian D D V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
41 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) V V D D V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
42 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana V D V V V D D 2.3 4 +1.7
43 YILMAZ Pinar D V V V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
44 SPRINGER Sierra V V D V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
45 KETKAR Ketki V V D D V V V D 5.1 4 -1.1
46 ABUELFUTUH Sama V D V V D V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
47 HANKINS Morgan V V D D V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
48 SHEFFIELD Skye V D V V V D V D 1.2 4 +2.8
49 WANG Zoe D V V D D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
50 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. V V D V D D V D 5.4 3 -2.4
50 LEE Sumin D V V D D V V D 4.3 3 -1.3
52 OXENREIDER Tierna A. V V D V D D V D 5.5 3 -2.5
53 SMUK Alexandra S. V D V D D V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
54 CHEN Lefu V V D D D V V D 4.7 3 -1.7
55 XIONG Angelica V D D V D V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
56 DHAIYA Tanya V D D V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
57 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. V D D V V D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
58 SEREGIN Katya D D V V V D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
59 LEE Michelle J. V D V D V D V D 4.6 3 -1.6
60 ZHANG Victoria R. V D D D V D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
61 LAW Mila D D D V D V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
62 LI Caroline D V D V D D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
63 MENG YIFAN D D D V D V V D 1.4 2 +0.6
64 JOYCE Michaela D D V D V D V D 4.6 2 -2.6
65 FRANGER Macy D V V V D V D 2.8 4 +1.2
66 LEE Camilla D V V D V V D 1.4 4 +2.6
67 CAPELLUA Mariasole V V V D V D D 3.7 4 +0.3
68 KUNJAN Lena R. V V D V V D D 3.4 4 +0.6
69 STERR Isabella M. D V V D V D D 2.9 3 +0.1
70 GUO Luxi D D V D V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
71 WU Michelle V V D D D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
72 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna D D D V V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
73 KIM Zoe L. V D D V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
74 GOH Cayla V V V D D D D 2.5 3 +0.5
75 XU Serena V D D D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
76 CARRIER Meredith V V V D D D D 2.7 3 +0.3
77 NING Miranda D V D V D V D 1.3 3 +1.7
78 CAVNAR Peyton D D V D V V D 1.4 3 +1.6
79 CHERNIS Liah D D V D V V D 1.7 3 +1.3
80 BASRALIAN Azniv V V D D V D D 3.3 3 -0.3
81 BILOUS-GRIDZHAK Valeriia D V V D D V D 4.0 3 -1.0
82 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra V D V D D D 3.7 2 -1.7
83 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. D D D V V D D 4.7 2 -2.7
84 DING Jiahe (Heidi) D D V D D V D 4.6 2 -2.6
85 HERNASA Anna D D D V D V D 1.3 2 +0.7
86 XU Yvette V D V D D D D 2.8 2 -0.8
87 EDWARDS Auprell V V D D D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
88 CAMAMA Tessa D V D D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
89 BEAVER Ava D D V V D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
90 IYER Ishana D D D D V V D 0.8 2 +1.2
90 OLELE Ifechi D V D D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
92 SHIV Avni D V D V D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
93 SCHMITT Harper D D V D V D D 1.3 2 +0.7
94 WANG Jessie D D V V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
95 WANG Sophie Y. V D D D D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
95 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. D D D V D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
97 MENDOZA zoie V D V D D D 1.9 2 +0.1
98 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle D D V D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
98 PETROFF Eva Gianna V D V D D D 0.7 2 +1.3
100 WONG Caitlin D V D D D V 1.8 2 +0.2
101 GANSER Nicole V D D D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
102 NOLAN Sophia V D D D V D 0.6 2 +1.4
103 WU Jessica D D D D V 1.5 1 -0.5
104 PILSON Rebecca D V D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
105 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha D D D D D V 2.2 1 -1.2
106 BEATIE Isabella M. D V D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
107 NEMETH Katherine D D D D D V 2.2 1 -1.2
108 CHI Zoe D D D D V D 0.9 1 +0.1
109 YANG Catherine D D D D V D 2.1 1 -1.1
110 STERN Savannah D V D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
111 QI Julieanne D D V D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
112 LEE Gloria Y. D V D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
113 WANG Chloe D D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
114 MARTINEZ Christina V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
115 LEE Claire D D D D D D 2.4 0 -2.4
115 YAO Melinda D D D D D D 2.4 0 -2.4
117 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
118 XIAO Katelyn D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%