Event Results

Y-12 Men's Saber

TMFC Portchester Cup #1Pool Heatmap

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM Tim Morehouse Fencing Club · New York, NY, USA
11 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WONG Jacob 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
2 TAUR Marcus 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
3 CHOI Dylan 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1%
3 CHATTAWAY Nicholas 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
5 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
6 LIOU Paxton 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 5%
7 MOREHOUSE Jack 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
8 PASQUALE Roman 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
9 HAN Ethan 100% 79% 39% 10% 1%
10 FRIAS Alfonso 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
11 SPYROPOULOS Stefan 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%