Event Results

Unrated Mixed Foil

RYF/RMSA Dollar ChallengePool Heatmap

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM Rochester Math & Science Academy (RMSA) · Rochester MN, MN, USA
19 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOGENSEN Ezra 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 5%
2 CHO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 HICKMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
4 WINTERS Linus 100% 87% 45% 10% 1% -
5 LAMAR Louis 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
6 CHRISTENSEN Jack 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
7 SERDIUK Anna 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
8 MOHAMED Ahmed 100% 99% 87% 52% 13% -
9 CHAN AARON 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 46%
10 HARRIS Nathan 100% 97% 78% 40% 9% -
11 PHINGPHA Avarie 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
12 YANG Ziwen 100% 73% 30% 6% - -
13 ATKINS Bonham 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
14 CHOI Zion 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
15 ZHAN Ethan 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
16 GUYSE Kellan 100% 98% 84% 46% 12% 1%
17 AHRENS Declan 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% -
18 WOODROUGH Honor 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
19 LUO Natalie 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5% -