Event Results

Div III Mixed Épée

Troy Cullen Memorial/Halloween Open 2026Pool Heatmap

Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM William & Mary Adair Gym · Williamsburg, VA, USA
42 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
2 CASSIDY Leo 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 8% -
3 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
3 PANE Patrick 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10% 1%
5 TANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 6%
6 ZIMSKY James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 BADOVICK Ronan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 21%
8 MCCABE Kian 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
9 MAZZONE Jacqueline 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
10 KELLEY Nathan 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
11 FISH Bradley 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
11 MCCARTHY Liam 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% < 1% -
13 MILLNER Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
14 WHITE Elijah 100% 98% 81% 37% 7% - -
15 RAWSON Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 14%
16 WU Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
17 IYER Matthias 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
18 LEI Angeline 100% 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% -
19 CARR Wesley 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
20 CHIVUKULA Prateek 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
21 RAISER Geoffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 10%
22 HARRINGTON Titus 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 6% -
23 KRECK Marie 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3% -
24 LUKOIANOVE Peter 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
25 MICHAEL Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
26 POLSGROVE tanner 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
27 GRIFFITH Riley 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
27 BHARDWAJ Akshaj 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
29 GUARDIOLA JR Oscar 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% -
30 COTHRAN Nicholas 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
31 SMITHSON Matthew 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
32 MINER Eisley 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
33 JOHNSTON Jessica 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
34 AKKALE Reyhan 100% 73% 33% 8% 1% - -
35 CONNORS Brady 100% 100% 98% 78% 37% 8% -
36 HEATH Sarah 100% 99% 41% 7% 1% - -
37 JOHNSTON Kira 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
37 KHER Jacqie 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
39 COX Jeniffer 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
40 LAVENDER William 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 6% -
41 MEYER Maeve 100% 98% 63% 22% 4% - -
42 EINOLF Maxfield 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -