Music City RYC & RJCC Epee and Foil ONLY

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Nashville, TN - Nashville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZHANG Andy W.	-	-	-	-	4%	28%	67%
2	SONG Leonardo T.	-	1%	9%	34%	46%	11%
3	KOBAL Maximilian	-	-	-	3%	19%	48%	29%
3	JITTAN daniel	-	-	1%	7%	35%	57%
5	CHENG Nathan	-	2%	11%	31%	38%	16%	2%
6	SICHITIU Alexander	-	-	-	3%	17%	44%	36%
7	GATZA Logan	-	-	1%	9%	28%	40%	22%
8	SAGE Michael J.	-	1%	5%	19%	36%	30%	9%
9	SYLVESTER William Z.	-	2%	15%	40%	33%	9%	-
10	LOVE Aaron	-	1%	10%	35%	43%	11%
11	WONG Garrick G.	-	-	1%	9%	38%	53%
12	ROUNTREE Rob	-	-	1%	9%	30%	43%	18%
13	CUI Anthony	-	-	2%	16%	42%	35%	5%
14	BEALE Asa G.	-	12%	38%	37%	11%	1%
15	TIYA BIAYA K.	-	-	-	3%	18%	46%	33%
16	HEARN Christen J.	-	14%	40%	35%	10%	1%
17	BERNABE Rafael	3%	23%	39%	27%	7%	1%	-
18	ROSS III Paul D.	1%	12%	33%	35%	16%	2%	-
19	LONG Connor M.	-	5%	28%	43%	21%	3%
20	JACK James	9%	31%	35%	19%	5%	1%	-
21	YU Jonathan J.	-	2%	11%	30%	36%	18%	3%
22	FRIEDENBERGER Jacob	2%	21%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-
23	WANG Duke R.	-	-	6%	25%	42%	24%	3%
24	BROWN Alexander R.	-	7%	26%	38%	23%	5%	-
25	LEE Jacob	1%	14%	41%	34%	9%	1%
26	AMMON Blue	19%	45%	30%	5%	-	-	-
27	EMENHEISER Conrad	-	1%	11%	32%	36%	17%	3%
28	JONES Nate	12%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-	-
29	TUGGY Sam	4%	25%	38%	24%	7%	1%	-
30	KIM Justin	48%	42%	9%	1%	-	-
31	O'CONNOR Kristian	1%	10%	30%	36%	19%	4%	-
31	KIM Chaemin	58%	34%	7%	1%	-	-	-
33	KNIZHNIK David	2%	32%	43%	20%	3%	-
34	COLLUM Thomas	21%	48%	26%	5%	-	-
35	CHOY Spencer Andrew	26%	49%	21%	4%	-	-	-
36	BUCHENHORST Anton	2%	14%	34%	34%	13%	2%	-
37	SUERSTEDT Haydn	61%	32%	6%	1%	-	-	-
38	MADDOX Kamden	90%	9%	-	-	-	-
39	SIGEL Noah	5%	41%	41%	12%	1%	-	-
39	YUAN Austin	8%	38%	40%	13%	2%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.