Event Results

Div III Mixed Saber

Troy Cullen Memorial/Halloween Open 2026Surprise Map

Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM William & Mary Adair Gym · Williamsburg, VA, USA
47 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 BENE Andrew V V V V V V V V V V V 5.1 6 +0.9
2 LIAO Sirui V V V V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
3 GOLART Dylan V V V V V V V V V D 3.0 6 +3.0
3 ELIAN David V V V V V V V V V D 4.6 6 +1.4
5 BENE Paul V V V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
6 HOWERTON Beckett V V V V V D V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
7 WALKER Terra V V V D V V V V D 2.6 5 +2.4
8 DADIO Daniel D D V D V V V V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
9 FANG Elena D V V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
10 HEANEY Sam V V V D V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
11 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. V D V V V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
12 FANG Darcy D V V V V V D 1.8 4 +2.2
13 ZHANG Manyao D V V V D V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
14 WANG Ziyao D V V V V D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
15 JAFAR Abdullah V V D V V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
16 GOSNELL James D D V V V D V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
17 ALLEN Asa V V V V V D D 4.1 5 +0.9
18 MOFFITT William V D V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
19 HO Vinh Khuong V V V D D V D 3.4 4 +0.6
20 YAMATANI Michael V V D V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
21 FLEEGER Sophia D D V V V V D 1.5 3 +1.5
22 SHELLY Emery V V V D D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
23 SEMP Brannon A. V D V D D V V D 5.5 3 -2.5
24 WIZEMAN Nathan D D D V V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
25 NGUYEN Bryce D D V D V V V D 1.5 3 +1.5
26 BELL Gabriel V V D V D D V D 2.2 3 +0.8
27 SO Lorenzo D V D V D V D 3.2 2 -1.2
28 VILLAR St John D D D D V V V D 1.5 2 +0.5
29 SILK Ryan D D D V V D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
30 MCCABE Donovan D D V V D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
31 SIMON Joseph D V D D D V D 1.3 1 -0.3
32 MAZZURCO Marin D D D D D V V D 3.2 1 -2.2
33 OHASHI Jax V D V V D D D 1.7 3 +1.3
34 WOOD Patrick V D D D V D 3.3 2 -1.3
35 EVELYN Wyatt D D V D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
36 EDMONDSON Christopher V V D D D D D 3.9 2 -1.9
37 DUDZIK Garrett D V D D D D 3.0 1 -2.0
38 DIEBLER Noah V D D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
39 DRESCHER Charlie D D D D D V D 3.5 1 -2.5
40 RILEY Emma V D D D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
41 SCHUPPIN Charles V D D D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
42 CARNAVAL Rafael D D V D D D D 3.1 1 -2.1
43 BLACKLIDGE Kyran D D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
44 BRANNAN-JONES Soren D D D D D D D 3.3 0 -3.3
44 ESCOTO Suliana D D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
46 NEWMAN Aurelia D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
47 SANTILLANA Marisol D D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%