December NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Saturday, December 15, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROSS Nicole 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 41% 6%
2 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 DUBROVICH Jacqueline 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
3 RYAN Kelleigh E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
5 ZEISS Madison E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
6 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
7 LEE Morgan A. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
8 LAFFEY Jessie S. 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
9 CHEN Alyssa J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
10 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
10 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
12 BOLDOR Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
13 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
14 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
15 TAN Helen 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
16 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
17 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
18 LU Margaret L.C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
19 LAM Justina 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
20 TAN Elisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
21 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
22 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
23 GONG Christina S. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% < 1% -
24 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
25 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
26 KARAMETE Irem 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
27 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
28 CANDESCU Diana 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
29 THOMPSON Julia T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 4%
30 AHN Gabriella 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
31 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4%
32 MAROTTA Veronica L. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
33 MARINELLI Ever 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
34 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
35 HAO Alicia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
36 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 48% 11% 1%
37 ZAROFF Roxanne 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 3% -
38 MARTOS Sara A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
39 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
40 HAO Grace 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 3%
42 ALFONSO Czarina M. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
43 MANDOUR Sophia M. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
44 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
45 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
46 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
47 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
48 LO Ashley 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
49 KASI Anisha 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
50 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% - -
52 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
53 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 23%
53 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
55 JIA Amy 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
56 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 14%
56 AHN Isabella 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
58 LI Grace Q. 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
59 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
60 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
61 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
62 ZHENG Vivian 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
63 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
64 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 95% 74% 41% 15% 3% -
65 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
66 CRUM Quinn T. 100% 76% 31% 7% 1% - -
67 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 35%
68 BANIN Isabelle J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
69 ZHENG Ivy 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
70 PARK Rowan M. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
71 SHEN Jasmine N. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
72 BARNETTE Zoe 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
73 VIQUEIRA Samantha M. 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 6% -
74 HARFELD Skylar 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
75 MOLHO Sofia 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
76 MCBRYAN Teresa N. 100% 100% 94% 73% 33% 6% -
76 PARK Alexandra D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
78 KLEINER Elyssa R. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
79 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
80 WANG Karina (Karina Xue Wang) X. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21% 3%
81 CHAN Stephanie Y. 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
82 CHUSID Renata (Renata Chusid) M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 20%
83 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
84 LEE Alina 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
85 ZHANG Rachel 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 1%
86 KIM Rachael 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
87 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
88 WONG Tatiana 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
89 APELIAN Katherine 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
90 BIASCO Anna 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
91 TANG Louise 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
93 GUO Kaitlyn S. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
93 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% 1%
95 LAMPSON-STIXRUD Dolly C. 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% - -
96 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
97 PRILUTSKY Sarah A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
97 SLOWINSKI Maia A. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
99 MASSICK Laine 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
100 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
101 RASO Sofia G. 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
102 WEINTRAUB Rei H. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
103 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 6% 1%
104 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
105 REN Olivia Y. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
106 NORMAN Lillia M. 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
107 SLADE Mycah R. 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
108 HUNT Tarleton Q. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
109 YE Eileen 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
110 ABAYEVA Sasha 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
111 SHALANSKY Julia B. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
112 LOW Sharon J. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
114 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 96% 65% 20% 3% - -
115 KELLY Katherine E. 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
116 NECHANICKY Mackensie J. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
117 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
118 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
119 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 84% 40% 8% 1% - -
120 HALL Velma 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
121 SHANG Andrea 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
122 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
123 ZUZULO Isabella E. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
123 BHANOT Gayatri 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
125 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
125 KIM Lauren Hyomin 100% 87% 47% 11% 1% - -
127 JING Alexandra 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
128 MARLEY-WEAVER Jordan 100% 21% 1% - - - -
128 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 99% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
130 MERGES Gretl C. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
130 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
132 WU Catherine 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
133 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
134 VONA Elena M. 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
134 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
136 MING YUE 100% 66% 18% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.