Event Results
December NACSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PAVLOVICH Robert | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 2 | WILBERT Matt | D D V D D | V V V V V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 3 | MCCARTHY Daniel (Dan) W. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| 3 | DOURAGHY Jamie M. | D V V V V | V V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 5 | KLEIN Johannes | V V V V V | V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 6 | STREB Joseph S. | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 7 | MARIANI Lou | V V V V D | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 8 | GROSS Stephen R. | V D V V D | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 9 | BENNETT Philippe | V V V V V V | V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 10 | LAWRENCE John W. | D V V V V | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 11 | DORFMAN Mitchell (Mitch) J. | D V V D V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 12 | MALNATI Donald H. | V D V V D V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 13 | CONYARD Anthony | D V V V D V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 14 | DELL George H. | D D V V V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 15 | KAROLAK Dale W. | V D V V D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 16 | DRAKE David L. | V V D D D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 17 | LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. | V V V V V | D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 18 | LIM Richard M. | V V D D V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 19 | VOELZ Jim | V V D D V | D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 20 | BISCHOFF William B. | V V D D V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 20 | JOHANSON David B. | V D V V D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 22 | RESS Michael A. | V D V D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 23 | CRACRAFT William J. | V V D D V D | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 24 | CHAMBERS Thomas J. | V V D D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 25 | MILLIGAN Bruce C. | D V D V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 26 | DAUGHERTY Ron L. | V D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 27 | ZEISS Gary M. | D D V D V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 28 | GLADNICK Michael J. | D D D D V | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 29 | POWERS James J. | D D D V D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 30 | HAGOPIAN Mitchell | D D D D V | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 31 | BLAIR III Ray H. | D V D D D D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 32 | CAIN Russell (Russ) P. | D D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 33 | KIRSHNER Ronald | D D D D V | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 34 | KEENEY Jeff | D V D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 35 | LANDIS Geoffrey A. | D D D V D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 36 | WILLIAMS Theodore | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 37 | SZATHMARY Michael J. | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 37 | BRAINERD Jim | D D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |