Event Results

Senior Women's Épée

MFA Saturday Epee (Sanctioned - Woman and Mixed)Pool Heatmap

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM Marin Fencing Academy · San Rafael, CA, USA
26 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
2 CHALLAMEL Heloise 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
3 CHEN Zizhou Julia 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2% -
3 FLYNN Kensington 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
5 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
6 ZHAO Emma 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
7 KROTZ Gemma 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
8 REN Ivanka 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
9 HOFMAN Haejung 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
10 CHANG Heidi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
11 BUDMAN Ava 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
12 THOMSON Sarah 100% 100% 92% 65% 25% 3% -
13 SMITH Marissa 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
14 STANICA Teodora O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
15 BOWEN Victoria M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
16 RADICH Lori G. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
17 HOFF Stephanie 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
18 LIANG Yueyan 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 4%
19 ESTRADA Anna G. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
20 NEEL Ava 100% 36% 6% - - - -
21 SANDOVAL Rosaura 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
22 LACEY Catherine 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
23 NATHE Ana 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8% -
24 SIU Angela 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
25 MOZAFFARIAN Audrey 100% 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
26 ALIOTO Sonia 100% 97% 75% 35% 7% -