Silicon Valley RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 30, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Santa Clara, CA - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZHANG Sylvia	-	-	1%	6%	22%	41%	30%
2	LEE Isabelle	-	-	4%	20%	39%	30%	7%
3	SOOD Ishani S.	-	-	-	4%	20%	43%	33%
3	ALTEN Ayaka	-	1%	7%	23%	36%	26%	6%
5	CHO Gracie L.	-	-	1%	9%	28%	40%	22%
6	KOROL Neta	-	5%	18%	31%	29%	14%	3%
7	YHIP Mikaela M.	-	3%	16%	34%	32%	13%	2%
8	KOROL Dana	-	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	2%
9	CASTANEDA Erika L.	-	-	2%	12%	32%	38%	16%
10	SU Alysa J.	1%	7%	23%	35%	25%	8%	1%
11	KIM Iris	-	1%	6%	23%	37%	26%	7%
12	HO Rachel E.	1%	7%	24%	35%	25%	8%	1%
13	CUI Melody J.	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%	-
14	PENG Amber L.	-	1%	6%	23%	38%	27%	7%
15	YEH Marissa E.	2%	14%	33%	34%	14%	2%
16	GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A.	-	-	3%	15%	41%	41%
17	TALWALKAR Apoorva	-	3%	12%	28%	33%	20%	5%
18	ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika	6%	29%	39%	21%	5%	-	-
19	KIM Hyunchae Y.	18%	39%	31%	11%	2%	-
20	SU Alena J.	4%	19%	37%	30%	10%	1%
21	KOSLOW Amicie	1%	6%	21%	32%	27%	11%	2%
22	PANT Anisha	-	-	3%	16%	35%	33%	11%
23	TOM Caitlyn	1%	7%	21%	33%	26%	11%	2%
24	DAVIS Bonnie Z.	-	1%	7%	21%	34%	28%	9%
25	LEE Bethanie	-	4%	19%	37%	31%	8%
26	LI Angela	12%	35%	34%	15%	4%	-	-
27	HWANG Jungmin	-	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%
28	OHALLORAN Zoe	1%	11%	29%	34%	19%	5%	-
29	HSIUNG Samantha	26%	42%	24%	7%	1%	-	-
30	UPENDER Cosette K.	10%	35%	38%	15%	3%	-	-
31	YIN Helen	16%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-
32	UMAP Arna	3%	20%	37%	28%	10%	2%	-
33	SHITAMOTO Audrey F.	-	3%	15%	32%	32%	14%	2%
34	LUO Sandra J.	3%	16%	31%	30%	15%	4%	-
35	LEE Samantha X.	2%	23%	38%	26%	9%	1%	-
35	NICKOLOV Nora	48%	39%	12%	1%	-	-	-
37	WELBORN Calissa	2%	15%	36%	34%	12%	2%	-
38	GREEN Perri L.	34%	41%	20%	5%	1%	-	-
39	DERMETZIS Adriana	44%	41%	13%	2%	-	-	-
40	CHANG Elizabeth	< 1%	-	4%	16%	34%	34%	12%
41	ELANGOVAN Mamata	67%	28%	5%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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