December NAC

Vet-50 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 16, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORMILE Jon M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
2 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
3 WATRALL Rick 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
3 HAYENGA Gary M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 14% 1%
5 MECHKOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
6 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
7 DIDASKALOU Ilias L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
8 GILLHAM Timothy A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
9 HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
10 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
11 PERKA Michael 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% < 1%
12 WALLACE Patric 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
13 MEHALL Michael 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
14 HANAHAN Thomas M. 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
15 JENSEN David 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
16 ESVAL Kevin 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
17 NIXON Mark 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
18 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
19 AMELI Sean 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
20 FRANK Fred 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
21 JOHNSON Jeff 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
22 REES Daniel I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
22 DESAMOURS Georges H. 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
24 POULIQUEN Benoit (Ben) 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
25 HERGERT Earl 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
26 NGUYEN Cuong T. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
27 LANG Markus 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
28 GREENE II Charles E. 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
29 BAXTER Daniel J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
30 VAN GOLEN Kenneth L. 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
31 LOEFFLER Carl E. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
32 OCHS Bradley C. 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% 1%
33 SUVEG Bela 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
34 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
35 AMRINE JR Terry L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
36 NEMAZIE David A. 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 3%
37 BRUS Brian V. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
38 SKOPIK Jr August 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
39 SZEGO Levente (Levi) 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 1%
40 BALESTRACCI Chris 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
41 SWANSON Dave 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
42 FANGMAN Daniel L. 100% 85% 44% 12% 1% -
43 POPOVICI Alexander M. 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
44 STEWART Robert 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
45 PEISTRUP Gregory (Greg) L. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
46 MILLS Tim A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
47 BLANCHARD Aaron (Sam) S. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
48 KRUGER Mark (Mark Kruger) 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
49 SUMLER Jeffery 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 5% -
49 WILLIAMS Richard 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
51 MARSHALL William L. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
52 JONES John (Mike) M. 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% -
52 BARAFF David 100% 73% 30% 6% - -
54 RITCHIE Mark T. 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
55 CHIEN William 100% 75% 30% 6% - -
56 DICKSON Tim 100% 96% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
57 SAYLOR David A. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
58 MCINTOSH Michael 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
59 PAPADOPOULOS Nic 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
60 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
61 PARTE Aidan 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% -
62 ABELE Chris 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1%
63 KAIN Brad 100% 89% 46% 11% 1% - -
64 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
65 SILVANIA Michael 100% 83% 45% 15% 2% - -
66 RIFKIND Neil 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.