The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Mission RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, October 7, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
2 CHUSID Renata (Renata Chusid) M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
3 THOMPSON Julia T. 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 10%
3 AHN Isabella 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
5 SHALANSKY Julia B. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
6 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
7 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 88% 43% 7%
8 RASO Sofia G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
9 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
10 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 45%
11 KASI Anisha 100% 100% 95% 64% 19%
12 MAK Tinney 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 35%
13 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
14 BREKER Anika 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
15 KIM Lauren Hyomin 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
16 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
17 HARFELD Skylar 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
18 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 42%
19 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
20 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 99% 93% 65% 24% 3%
21 LI Meilin 100% 97% 77% 36% 7%
22 SAXENA SEJAL 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
23 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 25%
24 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
25 HOLLE Aviella S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
26 WU Irene M. 100% 97% 77% 31% 2% -
27 LIU Alice M. 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 7%
28 HO Brianna W. 100% 99% 81% 29% 4% -
29 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 93% 58% 19% 2% -
30 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
31 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 3%
32 SHEN Sophia 100% 32% 4% - - -
33 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
34 WONG Julia M. 100% 91% 56% 16% 2%
35 DAVIDSON Sammy C. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
36 YU Jaime L. 100% 95% 55% 13% 1% -
37 SHORTALL Samantha 100% 90% 57% 18% 2% -
38 HUANG NATALIE 100% 98% 77% 35% 6% -
39 BOODELL Ella 100% 100% 98% 81% 37% 6% -
40 BECCHINA Claire E. 100% 78% 38% 11% 1% - -
41 CHENG Gloria 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
42 SHEN Annabel 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
43 ROSBERGER Jessica 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
44 DU Hannah 100% 78% 31% 5% - -
45 BASSON Bayley D. 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
46 O'BRIEN Sandra L. 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
47 HEISER Anna M. 100% 88% 39% 8% 1% - -
47 XIE zoey 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2% -
49 LIU Carolyn Y. 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
50 SILVER Anna 100% 54% 9% 1% - - -
51 ZIMBALIST Lila 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
52 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 57% 14% 1% -
53 FELLMAN Sara 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
54 NICOU Melina 100% 83% 39% 7% - -
55 ZAVALA-ARBELAEZ Ivanna 100% 75% 29% 4% - -
56 DICANIO Gianna 100% 69% 16% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.