December NAC

Div I Women's Épée (Day 2)

Monday, December 17, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 CANDREVA Greta H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
2 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 26% 4%
3 VERMEULE Emily 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
5 MANGANO Ariana J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
6 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 2%
7 KOPECKY Lydia J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 43% 12%
8 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
9 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
10 CONSTANTINO Lola 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
11 ZUIKOVA Veronika 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 48% 25% 10% 3% - - -
12 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
13 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
14 ENO Megan E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
15 SIRICO Amanda E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
16 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 98% 87% 62% 34% 13% 3% 1% - - - - -
17 BEDDINGFIELD Claire E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
18 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
19 VIE Natalie J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
20 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
21 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
22 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
23 MO Victoria 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
24 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
25 BATES Cassandra L. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
26 PAUL Anna L. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
27 MCFADDEN Christa M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
28 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 6%
29 BARNA Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 75% 51% 27% 11% 3% - -
30 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
31 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
32 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
33 LIANG Rui ( Jessica ) 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 5%
34 LIU Kai (Charlene) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 91% 76% 53% 27% 9% 1%
35 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
36 GIFFORD Emily R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 71% 43% 17% 3%
37 KIM Diane E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 60% 35% 15% 5% 1% - -
38 YEFREMENKO Dariya (Dasha) (Dasha) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 70% 46% 22% 7% 1%
39 STEWART Tatijana I. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
40 DANIEL Chloe L. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
41 TANIBAJEVA Rachel L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 34% 13% 3% -
42 CHOI Lyla 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
43 DOLGONOS Melanie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 62% 38% 17% 5% 1% - -
44 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 52% 27% 10% 3% - -
45 TYLER Syd 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
46 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
46 PROCTOR Sara J. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
49 VERRET Alexanne 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
50 PLENTY Kenyata (Kenya) (Kenya) G. 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
51 PYO Yunice 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 71% 48% 26% 10% 3% - -
52 CEBULA Anne 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
53 MARTUS Cosima O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 42% 19% 5% 1% -
54 HUELLAS-BRUSKIEWICZ Marie-Rose R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 43% 21% 7% 2% - -
55 YEU Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 70% 42% 16% 3% -
56 BROOKS Tean R. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
57 KOMAR Sofia 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
58 PHILLIPS Summer E. 100% 95% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
59 ADRAGNA Olivia 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 47% 24% 9% 3% - - - -
60 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 45% 20% 6% 1% - -
61 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
62 QUINLAN Nicole P. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
63 MARSH Janet L. 100% 90% 64% 33% 12% 3% 1% - - - - - -
64 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
65 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
66 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
67 WEISS Talia L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 54% 30% 12% 3% - -
68 SCALA Emma 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
69 PAPADOPOULOS Maria 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 54% 29% 11% 3% 1% - -
70 BARRY Julia E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 70% 42% 16% 3%
71 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 76% 50% 25% 9% 2% - - -
72 ANGEN Katie R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
73 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1% -
74 BUVARP Elisabeth M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 70% 45% 22% 7% 1% -
75 VAN MARION Kirsten C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 49% 25% 9% 2% - -
76 HABERKERN Kundry E. 100% 97% 86% 62% 34% 14% 4% 1% - - - -
77 TONCHEVA Victoria M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
77 DORVAL Anne-Marie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 56% 31% 12% 3% - -
79 LANZMAN Anna B. 100% 95% 59% 21% 4% - -
80 LEUNG Karina Kay Sze 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 2%
81 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
82 CHERRY Ashley A. 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 26% 10% 3% - - -
83 ROBLES Elena 100% 100% 99% 93% 79% 55% 31% 13% 4% 1% - - -
84 LIM Clarice 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 52% 28% 12% 3% 1% - -
84 ZAFFT Tatiana M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 63% 38% 17% 6% 1% - -
86 LEE Michelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 47% 24% 9% 2% - - -
87 O'REILLY Aeryn E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 62% 37% 17% 6% 1% - - -
88 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 65% 40% 18% 6% 1% -
89 GAO Emily L. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
90 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 56% 32% 14% 4% 1% - -
91 LONG Cindy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 63% 37% 15% 4% -
92 KANG Dahyun 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 30% 10% 2% - - - -
93 DAVIS Sophie R. 100% 99% 90% 71% 45% 22% 8% 2% - - - - -
93 VANDERLINDEN Mira 100% 91% 66% 35% 14% 4% 1% - - - - - -
95 RABEL Brenna V. 100% 99% 94% 78% 51% 26% 9% 2% - - - -
96 BELAOUSSOFF Kira 100% 100% 98% 89% 69% 43% 20% 6% 1% - - - -
96 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% 1% -
98 CHIMIENTI Michele 100% 100% 97% 85% 61% 32% 12% 3% 1% - - - -
98 BARR Abigail D. 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 60% 35% 15% 5% 1% - - -
100 BINDAS Blodwen S. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
101 TAPIA Sandy 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 59% 33% 13% 4% 1% - -
101 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 100% 98% 91% 72% 44% 20% 6% 1% - - -
103 PROVENZA Hannah G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 63% 33% 10% 1%
104 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 5%
105 KULKARNI Diya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 49% 26% 10% 2% - -
106 IGOE Nirali B. 100% 100% 96% 85% 63% 37% 16% 5% 1% - - -
107 GILLIS Alexandra G. 100% 94% 73% 40% 15% 4% 1% - - - - -
108 O'REILLY Meghan J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 81% 57% 31% 12% 3% 1% - -
109 SZPAK Lara K. 100% 100% 98% 90% 70% 44% 21% 7% 2% - - - -
110 WALLACE Katherine C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 59% 34% 15% 4% 1% -
110 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 44% 21% 7% 2% - -
112 PROVANCE Allison N. 100% 79% 41% 14% 3% - - - - - - -
113 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 97% 86% 65% 39% 18% 6% 2% - - - -
114 KIM Natalie S. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
115 PROVANCE Amanda R. 100% 100% 98% 90% 72% 46% 22% 8% 2% - - -
116 BRILL Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 72% 46% 22% 7% 2% - -
117 ADVINCULA Anabella E. 100% 94% 73% 43% 19% 6% 1% - - - - - -
118 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 58% 34% 14% 4% 1% -
118 LAMBERT Jasmine M. 100% 98% 89% 67% 40% 18% 6% 1% - - - - -
120 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 56% 28% 9% 1%
121 ALLEN Susan B. 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 48% 25% 10% 3% 1% - - -
122 KAIN Isabel J. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
123 LEIGHTON Eleanor T. 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
123 GUPTA Ananya B. 100% 99% 94% 79% 55% 29% 12% 3% 1% - - - -
123 CAO Catherine H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 54% 29% 11% 3% 1% - -
126 PRASAD Anagha 100% 91% 65% 34% 13% 3% 1% - - - - -
127 YAO Jillian 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.