Manalapan, NJ - Manalapan, NJ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | NIL Michael Y. | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 2 | CHAMBERS Amir E. | V V V V V D | V V V V D | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| 3 | NG Jonathan H. | V V D V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 3 | LEVIN Mark A. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 5 | CHAN Daniel | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 6 | MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 7 | GHOSH Tuhin | V V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 8 | LASORSA Matthew | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 9 | GILLIGAN Wolff | V V D V V V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 10 | MOSKOWITZ Mason C. | V D V V V | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 11 | HAMMER Peter A. | D V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 12 | LEE Jude H. | V V V V D | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 13 | WALKER Robert Connor | V V D V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 13 | YUAN Kevin | D V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 13 | ZHOU Miles | V D V D V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 16 | SANDERS Samuel B. | V V D V D | V V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 17 | CHERNAEV Aleksandar | V V D V V | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 18 | TSODIKOV Matthew G. | D D V V V V | D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 19 | BUCHMANN Finn D. | V V D D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 20 | LEDERER Justin W. | V V D V D | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 21 | LEMPERT Levy A. | D D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 22 | GOLD Jackson | V V V D D D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 23 | BOURGHOL Matthew | D D V D V V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 24 | XU Michael | V V V D D D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 25 | HAN Daniel Y. | D D D V D V | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 26 | ROSEN Ben | D D D V V D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 27 | ZELAYA Jayson | D V V D D D | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 28 | CHENG Kyle | D V D D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 29 | DEPEW Spencer | D D D V D | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 30 | KREGER Evan | D V D D D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 31 | PANDEY Neil | D D D D V D | V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 32 | RAUSCHER Ryan | D D D D D | V D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| 33 | MARGULIES William | D V D V V D | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 34 | BURDAN Gabriel | V D V D D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 35 | KAOURIS George | V D D D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 36 | TIERNO Thomas J. | D D V D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 37 | WEBER Mattias A. | D D V D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 38 | RUDNET Noah | D D V D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 39 | FISK Ethan | D D D D V | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 40 | CHAMBERS Thomas J. | D D V D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 41 | WONG Ryan | D D D V D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 42 | ONION Marc | V D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 43 | ZHANG Yankun | D D D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 44 | GEORGE Daniel | D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 45 | HEKMAT Sina R. | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.