Old Man Winter

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 11, 2020 at 12:30 PM

Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FREEMAN Daniel H. - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
2 COMBS Colson - - 6% 27% 43% 24%
3 HORTELANO Ethan 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
3 O'BRIEN Eoin J. - 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
5 GOLDER Will W. 3% 21% 40% 29% 7%
6 SANFORD Kenyatta L. - 6% 49% 37% 7%
7 WALSTON Michael (Kent) 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
8 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
9 THORNTON Zachary 1% 10% 35% 40% 13% 1%
10 JOSEPH William - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
11 FITCH JR James 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4%
12 NANCE Jonathan W. 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
13 SMITH Robert 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
14 JULIEN Erica 40% 41% 15% 3% - -
15 ALEXANDER Amelia 9% 35% 39% 15% 1%
16 SMITH Joseph 7% 31% 42% 18% 2%
17 WALSTON Jonathan 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 1%
18 REA John P. 28% 45% 22% 4% - -
19 KINNEY Michael R. 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
20 GOLDER Christiane 10% 37% 40% 13% -
21 ALEXANDER Erin 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
22 BROMBERG Alice 17% 39% 32% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.