Garden State RJCC - Reg Opens 9/15

Junior Women's Épée

Friday, November 6, 2020 at 4:00 PM

Edison, NJ - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	KHROL Jaclyn	-	-	-	-	2%	20%	78%
2	KUZNETSOV Victoria	-	-	5%	22%	40%	28%	4%
3	LIN Jessica Y.	-	-	-	-	4%	28%	68%
3	KIM Diane E.	-	2%	13%	36%	37%	13%
5	DROVETSKY Alexandra M.	-	-	4%	18%	42%	36%
6	KOWALSKY Rachel A.	-	1%	7%	24%	41%	27%
7	GU Sarah	-	1%	6%	24%	42%	28%
8	LIN Elaine	6%	27%	38%	22%	6%	1%	-
9	FALLON Kyle R.	-	-	3%	22%	47%	28%
10	ALVIDREZ Francesca A.	1%	8%	25%	37%	24%	5%
11	NI Emma	-	-	3%	22%	47%	28%
12	LEE Olive	-	-	4%	18%	40%	35%	4%
13	GABERKORN Nadia	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	20%
14	MAO Amy	-	2%	15%	44%	32%	7%
15	GAJJALA Sharika R.	-	5%	20%	37%	30%	8%
16	KOKES Ava	6%	25%	38%	24%	7%	1%
17	LU Junyao	-	1%	12%	35%	38%	13%
18	WITTE Vera	2%	23%	40%	26%	8%	1%
19	GAO Judy	-	4%	18%	36%	31%	10%	-
20	LONG Cindy	-	1%	11%	32%	38%	17%	1%
21	BLAKE Caira	-	8%	29%	38%	21%	4%
22	TOMASELLO Olivia E.	2%	13%	32%	34%	16%	3%
23	WONG Alexandra R.	19%	39%	30%	11%	2%	-
24	ZIGALO Elizabeth	-	3%	17%	37%	32%	10%	1%
25	FURMAN Maria	1%	10%	29%	36%	19%	4%	-
26	EBRAHIM Ameera H.	1%	19%	42%	29%	8%	1%
27	HOSANAGAR Inchara	4%	36%	44%	14%	2%	-
28	VINE Melissa	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	3%
29	DE JAGER Celine	1%	10%	28%	36%	21%	4%
30	SMOTRITSKY Mia	2%	33%	43%	19%	3%	-
31	LI Alisha	4%	22%	37%	27%	8%	1%	-
32	MING Cynthia	< 1%	8%	29%	38%	20%	4%
33	ZAKHAROV Anne (Anya) E.	5%	26%	40%	23%	6%	1%	-
34	HICKS Grace	5%	37%	44%	13%	1%	-
35	WELLS Emily	11%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-
36	REID Anousheh	-	6%	23%	38%	26%	6%
37	CHANG Ella	16%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-
38	KIM Lynne	76%	21%	2%	-	-	-
39	GUJJA Misha	13%	39%	34%	12%	2%	-	-
40	ZENG Katrina	19%	40%	30%	10%	2%	-
41	RHODY Evalyn	72%	25%	3%	-	-	-
42	GUZZI Jordan	35%	43%	18%	3%	-	-	-
43	LIU Alice	33%	42%	20%	4%	-	-	-
44	SHUKLA Tanya	86%	14%	1%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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