Edison, NJ - Edison, NJ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 2 | CHAN Matthew | V V V D V V | V V V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 3 | HUANG Ethan F. | D D V V V | V V V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 3 | ALTIRS Alexander | D V V V V V | V V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 5 | MORRILL Justin | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 6 | WILSON Jude | V V V D V | V V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 7 | OVERDECK Andrew | V V D V V | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 8 | COLE Alexander | V V D V D | V V V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 9 | MORRILL William | V V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 10 | ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. | D V V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 11 | NG Jeremiah | V V V V D | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 12 | HUANG Tyler T. | V D V V D V | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 13 | MARGULIES William | V V D V D | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 14 | BLEYMAN David | D V V D V | V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 15 | SAVOY Luca | D D V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 16 | ZENG Noah | V V D D D V | V V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 17 | MEDVEDEV Michail D. | V V V V V D | D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 18 | DENG Andrew | V V V D V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 19 | SHOMAN Noah | V V D V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 20 | HAN Daniel Y. | V V D V V | D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 21 | SHTEYN Mark | D V V V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 22 | BIDWELL Ryder | V D V V D V | V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 23 | STURN Oliver | D V D V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 24 | BERMAN Luca | V D V V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 25 | ZHENG Edward L. | V D V D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 26 | SHOMAN Zachary | D D V V D | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 27 | BABAYEV Gabriel A. | D V D D V | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 28 | WONG Ryan | D V D V D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 29 | EPSTEIN Oliver D. | V D D V D D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 30 | BREKHMAN Eric | V D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 31 | DEPEW Spencer | D D D D V | V D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 32 | MICLAUS Justin | D D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 33 | CHEN Evan P. | V V D D V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 34 | MCCARTHY Gabriel | V V D V D D | D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 35 | SANDERS Samuel B. | V D V D D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 36 | HONG Vincent Q. | V D D V D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 37 | KIM Shaun M. | D V V D D | D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 38 | POSY Daniel | V V D D D | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 39 | LEONARD Charles | D D D V V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 40 | LIU Mingyang Ryan | D D D D V V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 41 | FIELDS Matthew S. | D D V D V D | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 42 | TANG Charles | D D D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 43 | EDELMAN Seth A. | D D V D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 44 | BROU Inkosi | D D D D V | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 45 | WEBER Mattias A. | D D V D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 46 | WANG Robert | D D D D D V | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 47 | MOULTON Ian | V D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 48 | FLITSANOV Macabee | D D D V D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 49 | ALTIRS Giorgio | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 50 | WANG Oscar | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 51 | HUANG Maxwell H. | D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.