Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | BUERGIN Aidan | V V V V | V V V V | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 2 | SZELA Tom J. | V D V D | V V V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 3 | GISLER Benjamin B. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 3 | BLACKLEDGE Michael | V D D D D | V V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 5 | FORTUNE Alexander J. | V V V V V | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 6 | GNEUHS Sam | V D V V V | V D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 7 | PAI Lakshan K. | D V V V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 8 | PALMA Matthew Dominic | D V D V V | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 9 | ANGLIN Benjamin S. | D V V V V | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 10 | EUH Jason | V V D D V | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 11 | BIESIADA Jan | V D V D D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 12 | AMES Tucker | V D D D | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 13 | LANDIS Geoffrey A. | D D V D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 14 | KEARNEY Matthew | D V D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 15 | KILBANE Matthew | D D D V D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 16 | VOELKER Charley | D D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 17 | AGUILAR Nicolas F. | D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |