Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WENCEL Clementine | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 2 | DRAGNE Alexis D. | V D D V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 3 | SIMPSON Lydia Q. | D V V V D | V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 3 | LUO ZIWEN | V D V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 5 | NEWHARD Zelia K. | V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 6 | PFLAUM Philippa J. | D V V D V | V D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 7 | WILSON Anna S. | V D D D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 8 | MCGRATH Polina S. | D D D V D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 9 | UPTON Sydney | V V V V V | D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 10 | SALINAS Jessica L. | V V V V D | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 11 | FEINBERG Gabriela | D D V D V | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 12 | OWEN Ashley | V D V D D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 13 | KNOPF Jenna G. | V D D D V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 14 | TRELOAR Allison F. | D V D V D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 15 | LEE Fiona E. | D V D D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 16 | ROMANO Megan C. | D V D D D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 17 | SELL Donna L. | D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 18 | BETTRIDGE Jessica | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |