Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MCNICHOLAS Evan M. | D V V D V | V V V V V | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 2 | ROTONDI Gregory V. | V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 3 | MA Bochen | V D V V V | V V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 3 | KENT Dwain | V V V V V D | V V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 5 | WINTERSHEIMER Adam | V V V V V | V V D | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| 6 | DICKSON Tim | V D V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 7 | VANDERLINDEN Brian | D V V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 8 | PARKS Robert | V V V D V | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 9 | HONG James | V V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 10 | MILLER Lance W. | D V D V V | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 11 | MICKO Fritz K. | V V D V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 12 | FITZGERALD Aidan | D D V D V V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 13 | CLARK Noah | V V D D D V | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 14 | KEARNEY Matthew | V D D V V D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 15 | SCHOWALTER Tyler J. | D D V D V | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 16 | MARTIN Dirk | V D V D D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 17 | AGARWAL Adheesh | V V V D V | D | 1.4 | 4 | +2.6 |
| 18 | SINGH Anil | V V D V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 19 | EDWARDS Tim | V V D V D | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 19 | HERMANSON David B. | V D D V V | D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 21 | TAROLLI Alexander | D V V V D | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 22 | THACKER William O. | V V D D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 23 | O’DEA Anthony | V D V V D | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 24 | O'BRIEN Timothy S. | V D V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 25 | SHULL Marc | D D V D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 26 | KENT Matthew | D V D D V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 27 | WILLIAMS Richard | D D D V V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 28 | KUHN Jeffrey | D V V D D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 29 | STEFANOV Michael A. | V D D D D | V D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 29 | LUKES Ollie | D V D D D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 31 | MOORE Gabriel | D D V D D D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 32 | DUNDEK Zachary L. | D D D D D | V D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 33 | LANDIS Geoffrey A. | D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 34 | KIM Jeff | D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 35 | SILVANIA Michael | D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 36 | HUGHES Mason | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 37 | AGUILAR Nicolas F. | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |